Guaireña vs Sol de América: match statistics

Sol de América sit 5th, while Guaireña are only 11th, and the visitors have lost just 2 of their 20 league matches this season, alongside 12 draws. Recent form also favors the away side: they have scored 8 goals in their last five matches, remained unbeaten and averaged 1.8 points per game, whereas Guaireña have scored just 2 goals and averaged 0.6 points. Away from home, Sol de América score an average of 1.7 goals per match and fail to find the net in only 10% of games, while the hosts have failed to score in as many as 50% of their home fixtures, averaging 0.9 goals. Guaireña have a slightly higher home xG average at 1.41 compared with the visitors’ 1.36, but their poor 8% conversion rate and recent attacking struggles significantly reduce the importance of this advantage. A draw is a realistic outcome, as Sol de América draw 40% of their away matches, but greater attacking consistency and clearly superior current form point towards an away win.

Sol de América has a high seasonal BTTS rate of 80%, but the key limitation remains Guaireña’s attack, which scores only 0.8 goals per home match. In their last five games, the hosts have scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per match, while they have failed to score in 30% of their matches this season. Guaireña keeps a clean sheet in 50% of its home matches and concedes an average of only 0.5 goals, which could also limit the visitors’ effectiveness despite their average of 1.7 goals. Although the hosts’ xG of 1.67 and 4.6 shots on target per match support their chances of scoring, their low 6% finishing conversion rate weakens this signal. Therefore, BTTS - No is the most likely outcome, as at least one side—Guaireña in particular—faces a realistic risk of ending the match without scoring.

Guaireña consistently play very tight matches: none of their games this season has exceeded the 2.5- or 3.5-goal line, while they average just 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In their last five matches, the hosts scored only 2 goals, or 0.4 per game, despite creating chances worth an average of 1.51 xG. Sol de América are more dangerous offensively, averaging 1.7 goals scored, but only 40% of their matches went Over 3.5 goals, and they conceded 0.8 goals per game across their last five fixtures. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while their opponents concede an average of no more than 1.2 goals, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5, as the data from both sides primarily points to a 0-3 goals scenario.

A draw at half-time is strongly supported by the profile of both teams: Guaireña were level at the break in 60% of their matches, compared with 70% for Sol de América; over their last five games, these figures stand at 80% and 60%, respectively. However, the hosts are in poor late-match form, having failed to win any of their last five outings, scoring just 0.4 goals per game and averaging 0.6 points. Sol de América remain unbeaten during this period, recording 1.8 points per game and scoring an average of 1.6 goals, while Guaireña concede 0.8 goals. Although the hosts defend well before half-time, conceding just 0.2 goals, the visitors’ advantage in season-long efficiency—18% compared with 6%—increases the likelihood of a turnaround in their favour after an even first half.