Gualaceo SC vs 9 de Octubre: match statistics
Gualaceo SC vs 9 de Octubre: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gualaceo SC played 9 de Octubre in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Gualaceo SC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. 9 de Octubre: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gualaceo SC scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. 9 de Octubre scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gualaceo SC 17%, 9 de Octubre 40%. Over 2.5: Gualaceo SC 0%, 9 de Octubre 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Gualaceo SC has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.25. Gualaceo SC: 5.3 shots per match, 9 de Octubre: 10.0.
Match halves
Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. 9 de Octubre: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (2 goals). 9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw. 9 de Octubre sit higher in the table (4th vs 9th Gualaceo) and have a better season record (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss vs home side’s 1-2-2), and in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals and average 2.0 points per game versus Gualaceo’s 4 goals and 1.6 points. Gualaceo at home generate higher xG (1.57) and average 3.5 on-target and 8 total shots per game, but this converts to only 0.67 goals per game and 67% of matches without scoring, indicating low finishing efficiency. 9 de Octubre away have lower xG (0.86) and on average 1 on-target shot, but they maintain 100% clean sheets and concede 0.0 goals on average away, which increases the likelihood of a goalless or low-scoring outcome. Consequently I expect a low-scoring match and a split of points (most likely 0:0 or 1:1).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong 'no' signal: 9 de Octubre has 100% clean sheets away and concedes 0.0 goals on average away, with a season BTTS rate of 0%. Opposing this is Gualaceo with 2.0 goals per home match and xG 1.51 and a home BTTS of 67%. However, in the last 5 matches 9 de Octubre scored 9 goals (1.8 avg) and has a recent xG of 1.35, while Gualaceo scored 4 goals in five matches (0.8 per match) and conceded 0.6 on average, which slightly increases the probability of Goal/Goal. Additionally the league has an average BTTS rate of 55%, and the hosts average 4.67 shots on target per match versus 1.0 for the visitors, favoring creativity from the home side. Considering the extreme away clean sheet rate (100%) and 0.0 average goals conceded for 9 de Octubre versus Gualaceo’s home potential (2.0 and xG 1.51), I favor the 'No Goal' scenario and assess BTTS at 40% Yes / 60% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics indicate a clear goal advantage for Gualaceo: the hosts score an average of 2.0 goals at home and 100% of their season matches have exceeded 1.5 goals, while 9 de Octubre average 0.5 goals away with 0% of matches >1.5. xG confirms this picture: Gualaceo xG_for 1.51 versus xG_against_away 0.88 yields an expected 1.20 goals for the home side, and 9 de Octubre xG_for 0.86 versus xG_against_home 0.81 yields 0.84 goals, totaling 2.04 expected goals in the match. Additionally, Gualaceo record on average 4.67 shots on target with a 17% conversion versus 1.0 and 7% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts; therefore I assess an 85% probability for Over 1.5, 40% for Over 2.5 and 18% for Over 3.5. The strongest play signal is Over 1.5, because the combination of a 2.0 home goal average, a total xG of 2.04 and Gualaceo’s historical 100% over1.5 gives the highest confidence.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics show Gualaceo’s advantage in chance creation: xG 1.51 versus 0.86 and on average 4.67 shots on target versus 1.0, with the home side scoring 2.0 goals per game compared to 0.5 for 9 de Octubre. However, the hosts tend to start more poorly — they led at the break in 33% of matches and were trailing at half-time in 67%, conceding an average of 1.33 goals before the interval. 9 de Octubre are in better recent form over the last five matches (3 wins, 60% win rate) and scored a total of 7 goals by half-time in those five games (1.4 per match), which increases the likelihood of a draw or the visitors leading at the break. Crucially, Gualaceo score on average 1.0 goal in the second half while not conceding after the break, which favors a turnaround. Therefore the most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1 — 43%), while alternatives are the home side leading from the start (1/1 — 18%) or a turnaround after the visitors lead at the break (2/1 — 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gualaceo SC | 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.29 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
9 de Octubre is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Gualaceo SC · 2 pts / match - 9 de Octubre
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
9 de Octubre is 180% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Gualaceo SC · 1.4 goals / match - 9 de Octubre
9 de Octubre is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Gualaceo SC · 0.8 goals / match - 9 de Octubre
Gualaceo SC scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
9 de Octubre scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gualaceo SC
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
9 de Octubre is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Gualaceo SC · 1 pts / match - 9 de Octubre
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gualaceo SC
9 de Octubre
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Gualaceo SC | Liga | 9 de Octubre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.11 | • 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 36% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Gualaceo SC 1 - 0 - 3 9 de Octubre. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gualaceo SC vs 9 de Octubre?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Gualaceo SC 1:0 9 de Octubre. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gualaceo SC and 9 de Octubre?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gualaceo SC won 1, 9 de Octubre won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gualaceo SC vs 9 de Octubre?
Gualaceo SC score 0.50 goals per game on average and 9 de Octubre 1.40. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Gualaceo SC's matches and 40% of 9 de Octubre's.
What form are Gualaceo SC and 9 de Octubre in?
Over the last 5 games Gualaceo SC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and 9 de Octubre 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gualaceo SC vs 9 de Octubre?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.