Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gualaceo SC play CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 18:45. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Gualaceo SC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gualaceo SC scores 0.76 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gualaceo SC 29%, CD El Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: Gualaceo SC 12%, CD El Nacional 47%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.17. Gualaceo SC: 6.6 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 9.8.
Match halves
Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (4 goals). CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win (1): Gualaceo SC has a markedly stronger home defence — conceding just 0.25 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of matches, whereas CD El Nacional concedes 1.67 goals away and has not recorded any clean sheets on the road. The attacking edge is narrower: hosts average 0.75 goals per home game with an average xG of 1.10 and shot conversion of 15%, while the visitors average 1.00 goal away with xG 0.92 and conversion 18%; El Nacional also averages 3.5 on-target shots per away game versus Gualaceo’s 2.67, indicating visitors create more clear attempts but concede frequently. The last 5 matches confirm the hosts’ stability: Gualaceo collected 9 points in the last 5 (form ddwwd) and conceded only 1 goal, whereas El Nacional collected 5 points (form ddwll), scored 9 and conceded 7. Additionally, Gualaceo have a superior home record (50% wins and +2 goal difference at the stadium) while El Nacional have not won away (0% wins and -2 goal difference on the road), which increases the home advantage. Considering the hosts’ defensive solidity and the visitors’ defensive instability, I assign a 65% chance to a Gualaceo win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an El Nacional win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gualaceo SC | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gualaceo SC is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Gualaceo SC · 0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gualaceo SC is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Gualaceo SC · 0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Gualaceo SC is 163% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.65 goals / match - Gualaceo SC · 1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Gualaceo SC scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gualaceo SC
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gualaceo SC is 187% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Gualaceo SC · 0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gualaceo SC
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Gualaceo SC | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.41 | 1.92 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 12% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Gualaceo SC 2:0 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional?
Gualaceo SC score 0.76 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.59. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Gualaceo SC's matches and 59% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are Gualaceo SC and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Gualaceo SC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and CD El Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gualaceo SC vs CD El Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.