Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar: match statistics
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gualberto Villarroel SJ played Bolívar in LFPB (Bolivia). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Gualberto Villarroel SJ: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match. Bolívar: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gualberto Villarroel SJ scores 1.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Bolívar scores 3.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 100%, Bolívar 50%. Over 2.5: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 50%, Bolívar 75%. League level: BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Bolívar has higher xG: 2.55 vs 1.43. Gualberto Villarroel SJ: 14.0 shots per match, Bolívar: 22.0.
Match halves
Gualberto Villarroel SJ: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Bolívar: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.75.
Goals by minute
Gualberto Villarroel SJ: 61-75 (2 goals). Bolívar: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LFPB: 3.32 goals per match, BTTS 68%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Bolívar): the visitors have scored 14 goals this season (avg 2.0 goals per away match), while the hosts have only 4 goals this season (avg 1.0 per match) and a goal difference of -1 versus +2 for Bolívar. Defence and efficiency favor the visitors: Bolívar concedes on average 0.0 goals away compared to 1.5 conceded by the hosts, has 100% clean sheets away versus 0% for the hosts, and a conversion rate of 18% versus 7% for Gualberto. The hosts attempt more shots (15 avg) and have more shots on target (3.5) than Bolívar (11 and 3), but their home xG 1.53 is only slightly higher than the visitors’ away xG 1.39, suggesting chance creation with poorer finishing. In form over the last 5 matches Bolívar is 3-1-1 with 12 goals scored (PPG 2), while the hosts are 1-2-2 with 9 goals (PPG 1), therefore I give the visitors about a 70% chance to win, 18% for a draw and 12% for a home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'both teams to score' market looks more likely. Home side Gualberto Villarroel average 4.0 goals per season, have xG 2.95 per match and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per match) with 80% BTTS in those five games. Bolívar average 2.0 goals per season and 14 goals in the season; in their last 5 matches they scored 12 goals (2.4 per match) and have 60% BTTS in those five, indicating they can reply with a goal. Although Bolívar show a seasonal 100% clean sheets stat and a seasonal conceded goals average of 0.0, their last 5 matches show 0.8 conceded per match, while the hosts concede 1.33 on the season and 1.2 in the last 5, so both teams have a realistic chance to score. Additionally, the league has BTTS at 65% and an average goals figure of 3.21, and the xG discrepancy (2.95 vs 1.39) plus shots on target (12.33 vs 3.0) suggests the hosts will create chances and are likely to score, while Bolívar’s form in the last 5 shows sufficient finishing to respond. I assign 72% to BTTS - Yes and 28% to No, recommending 'Yes' as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates significant goal potential for the home team: seasonal average goals scored is 4.0 with an offensive xG of 2.95 and 25.67 shots (12.33 on target), while Bolívar averages 11.0 shots (3.0 on target) and has an offensive xG of 1.39. Comparing offensive and defensive xG yields expected goals for the home side (2.95 + 1.26)/2 = 2.10 and for the visitors (1.39 + 0.78)/2 = 1.09, totaling 3.19 expected goals. Additionally, the league average goals is 3.21, and season over 1.5 percentages are 100% for both home and away, confirming a tendency toward matches with at least 2 goals. From a Poisson model with lambda = 3.19, the probability of Over 1.5 is about 83%, Over 2.5 about 62% and Over 3.5 about 40%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (83%) — the home side’s high offense and a combined expected 3.19 goals give a clear edge to the Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team exhibits very strong first-half performance — averaging 2.0 goals by halftime and leading at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%), with as many as 4 goals scored in the 31–45 minute window. Bolívar, conversely, shows a perfect record in the given season: 100% wins and an average of 0.0 conceded goals, demonstrating their ability to see out results. Second-half data and form from the last 5 fixtures support a turnaround scenario — in the most recent 5 matches the visitors won the second half 60% of the time and average 3.0 points in second-half metrics, while the hosts concede an average of 1.0 goal after the break. Additionally, the home side creates significantly more chances (on average 25.67 shots and 12.33 on target vs. 11.0 and 3.0 for Bolívar), which explains the lead at the break, but the visitors’ defensive advantage and second-half efficiency lead me to select 1/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolívar is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2.25 pts / match - Bolívar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolívar is 250% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 3.5 goals / match - Bolívar
Bolívar is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 1 goals / match - Bolívar
Gualberto Villarroel SJ scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Bolívar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Bolívar scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Gualberto Villarroel SJ keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Over / Under - Bolívar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolívar is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2.5 pts / match - Bolívar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bolívar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Bolívar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LFPB).
Teams vs league
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Liga | Bolívar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.32 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 92% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1 - 0 - 1 Bolívar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar?
The LFPB match finished Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1:2 Bolívar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Bolívar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gualberto Villarroel SJ won 1, Bolívar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar?
Gualberto Villarroel SJ score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bolívar 3.50. The LFPB average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Gualberto Villarroel SJ's matches and 50% of Bolívar's.
What form are Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Bolívar in?
Over the last 5 games Gualberto Villarroel SJ have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and Bolívar 3-0-1 (2.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Bolívar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


