Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai: match statistics
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Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guangxi Hengchen play Changchun Yatai in China League One (China). The match date is 17 October 2026.
Current form
Guangxi Hengchen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Changchun Yatai: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.58 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Changchun Yatai scores 1.50 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guangxi Hengchen 50%, Changchun Yatai 69%. Over 2.5: Guangxi Hengchen 46%, Changchun Yatai 69%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.22. Guangxi Hengchen: 15.0 shots per match, Changchun Yatai: 9.6.
Match halves
Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00. Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Guangxi Hengchen: 61-75 (11 goals). Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guangxi Hengchen | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangxi Hengchen is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.2 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangxi Hengchen is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.5 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Guangxi Hengchen is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.62 goals / match - Changchun Yatai
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Changchun Yatai scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guangxi Hengchen
Over / Under - Changchun Yatai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangxi Hengchen is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.08 pts / match - Changchun Yatai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Changchun Yatai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guangxi Hengchen
Changchun Yatai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Guangxi Hengchen | Liga | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Guangxi Hengchen 1 - 0 - 0 Changchun Yatai. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Guangxi Hengchen and Changchun Yatai play?
Guangxi Hengchen face Changchun Yatai on 17 October 2026 in China League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?
Guangxi Hengchen score 1.58 goals per game on average and Changchun Yatai 1.50. The China League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Guangxi Hengchen's matches and 69% of Changchun Yatai's.
What form are Guangxi Hengchen and Changchun Yatai in?
Over the last 5 games Guangxi Hengchen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Changchun Yatai 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?
The statistical background for Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.