Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka: match statistics
Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guangxi Hengchen played Meizhou Hakka in China League One (China). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Guangxi Hengchen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Meizhou Hakka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guangxi Hengchen scores 1.76 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Meizhou Hakka scores 1.06 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guangxi Hengchen 59%, Meizhou Hakka 50%. Over 2.5: Guangxi Hengchen 59%, Meizhou Hakka 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Guangxi Hengchen has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.11. Guangxi Hengchen: 13.8 shots per match, Meizhou Hakka: 8.7.
Match halves
Guangxi Hengchen: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.18. Meizhou Hakka: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Guangxi Hengchen: 61-75 (8 goals). Meizhou Hakka: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guangxi Hengchen are unbeaten at home, winning 63% of their matches, while Meizhou Hakka have lost 56% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 2.13 goals per home game with an xG of 1.92, whereas the visitors score just 0.78 goals away from home and fail to find the net in 44% of their matches. The difference in chance quality is clear: Guangxi average 16.13 shots and 6.25 shots on target per game, compared with Meizhou’s 8.33 shots and 2.44 shots on target. The hosts’ defensive record also looks more reliable, allowing opponents an xG of 0.98 and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, while Meizhou’s away xG against stands at 1.86. Recent form further strengthens the case for the hosts: Guangxi have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 14 goals in them, while Meizhou have suffered 3 defeats and scored just 6 goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Guangxi Hengchen has recorded BTTS - Yes in 67% of its matches this season and in 60% of its last five games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during that run. Meizhou Hakka has a lower BTTS rate—33% for the season and 40% across its last five matches—but its defence has conceded as many as 9 goals during this period, or 1.8 per game. The hosts are currently creating chances worth an average of 1.84 xG, while the visitors allow their opponents 1.93 xG, strongly supporting a Guangxi goal. Meizhou’s chances of scoring are moderate, but Guangxi has kept a clean sheet in only 11% of its matches and concedes an average of 2.22 goals per game this season. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Guangxi Hengchen are in very strong attacking form: they have averaged 2.8 goals over their last 5 matches, while their average xG has risen to 1.84. Meizhou Hakka conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.93, which clearly favors the home side. At least 2 goals were scored in all of Guangxi’s matches so far and in 67% of Meizhou’s fixtures, while both teams also have 100% of their matches featuring at least one goal. The Over 1.5 goals line therefore has the strongest statistical backing, although the 2.5 threshold is riskier, given that Meizhou have recorded Over 2.5 goals in only 44% of their matches across the full season. The projected total of 2.90 goals is primarily based on the combination of Guangxi’s current attacking efficiency and the visitors’ defensive weakness.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Guangxi Hengchen win at full-time, as the hosts have averaged 2.8 goals over their last five matches and won three of them, while Meizhou have lost three of their last five. However, Guangxi have struggled to establish a lead in the first half: they were ahead in only two of nine matches and went into the break trailing on seven occasions. The possibility of a late turnaround is strengthened by Guangxi’s attacking potential: they average 3.44 shots on target compared with Meizhou’s 2.44, while their shot conversion rate stands at 15%, versus 9% for their opponents. The visitors’ defence allows an average xG of 1.86, while Guangxi have averaged 2.2 goals after half-time in their last five matches, supporting a decisive outcome after an evenly contested first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guangxi Hengchen | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guangxi Hengchen is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.2 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guangxi Hengchen is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.06 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka
Guangxi Hengchen is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 1.89 goals / match - Meizhou Hakka
Guangxi Hengchen scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Meizhou Hakka keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Meizhou Hakka scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Guangxi Hengchen keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guangxi Hengchen
Over / Under - Meizhou Hakka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guangxi Hengchen is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Guangxi Hengchen · 0.83 pts / match - Meizhou Hakka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guangxi Hengchen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Meizhou Hakka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guangxi Hengchen
Meizhou Hakka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Guangxi Hengchen | Liga | Meizhou Hakka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Guangxi Hengchen 0 - 0 - 1 Meizhou Hakka. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?
The China League One match finished Guangxi Hengchen 1:0 Meizhou Hakka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?
Guangxi Hengchen score 1.76 goals per game on average and Meizhou Hakka 1.06. The China League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Guangxi Hengchen's matches and 50% of Meizhou Hakka's.
What form are Guangxi Hengchen and Meizhou Hakka in?
Over the last 5 games Guangxi Hengchen have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Meizhou Hakka 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.