Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo: match statistics
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 60% win rate at their stadium and an impressive average of 2 goals scored per match. The hosts hold an advantage in efficiency (16% shot conversion vs 9% for the visitors) and a better xG balance (1.47 vs 1.13), which suggests higher quality of chances created. Despite better recent form (2 PPG), 2 de Mayo performs significantly worse away from home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and recording a negative goal difference (-4). The hosts have scored more than twice as many goals in home matches this season (17) than the visitors have away (8), which, combined with Guaraní's solid defense (20% clean sheets), argues in favor of their victory. I expect Guaraní to take advantage of playing at home and secure all three points in this encounter.
Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaraní played 2 de Mayo in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 25 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. 2 de Mayo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.55 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. 2 de Mayo scores 0.73 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 55%, 2 de Mayo 36%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 55%, 2 de Mayo 27%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.07. Guaraní: 11.3 shots per match, 2 de Mayo: 11.3.
Match halves
Guaraní: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 1.00. 2 de Mayo: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (8 goals). 2 de Mayo: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 60% win rate at their stadium and an impressive average of 2 goals scored per match. The hosts hold an advantage in efficiency (16% shot conversion vs 9% for the visitors) and a better xG balance (1.47 vs 1.13), which suggests higher quality of chances created. Despite better recent form (2 PPG), 2 de Mayo performs significantly worse away from home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and recording a negative goal difference (-4). The hosts have scored more than twice as many goals in home matches this season (17) than the visitors have away (8), which, combined with Guaraní's solid defense (20% clean sheets), argues in favor of their victory. I expect Guaraní to take advantage of playing at home and secure all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data indicate low scoring consistency from Guaraní: an average of 0.5 goals per match and a full 50% of games without a scored goal. Although 2 de Mayo concedes heavily this season (1.8 GA/match), their defense has improved significantly in the last 5 matches (0.6 GA and xGA 0.89), lowering the hosts' chances of scoring. At the same time, the visitors possess solid offensive potential (1.0 goal/match this season and 1.0 in the last 5), while Guaraní concedes an average of 1.0 goals, making the 'visitors will score' scenario probable. The BTTS percentage for both teams this season is below the league average (Guaraní 33%, 2 de Mayo 40% vs league 48%), which further supports a scenario without a goal from one side. Consequently, the pick most coherent with the data is BTTS: NO, most likely via a clean sheet from one of the sides.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model indicates a moderately low scoring potential (expected_goals_total = 2.05), with similar xG values: Guaraní 1.02 and 2 de Mayo 1.13. Historical result distributions support lower lines: Guaraní has only 17% of matches with over 2.5 and 0% with over 3.5, while 2 de Mayo has 40% and 20% respectively, which collectively suggests rare 'high-scoring' outcomes. Furthermore, the league tends to be 'under-ish' (average 2.3 goals and only 34% over 2.5), and the high percentage of clean sheets in the league (59%) limits the risk of a goal exchange. The recent form of 2 de Mayo's last 5 matches shows defensive improvement (0.6 goals conceded per match and xG against 0.89), which lowers the goal ceiling of the match. Therefore, the strongest signal is the 3.5 line, where the probability of under is highest.
View Over/Under statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | 2 de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
2 de Mayo is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Guaraní · 2 pts / match - 2 de Mayo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 112% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Guaraní · 0.73 goals / match - 2 de Mayo
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while 2 de Mayo keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
2 de Mayo scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - 2 de Mayo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
2 de Mayo is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Guaraní · 1.18 pts / match - 2 de Mayo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
2 de Mayo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaraní
2 de Mayo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | 2 de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Guaraní 2 - 0 - 2 2 de Mayo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 1:1 2 de Mayo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and 2 de Mayo?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2, 2 de Mayo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo?
Guaraní score 1.55 goals per game on average and 2 de Mayo 0.73. The Division Profesional average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Guaraní's matches and 36% of 2 de Mayo's.
What form are Guaraní and 2 de Mayo in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and 2 de Mayo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo?
The statistical background for Guaraní vs 2 de Mayo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.