Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaraní played Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.19 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.40 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 48%, Cerro Porteño 43%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 39%, Cerro Porteño 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.28. Guaraní: 11.5 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 13.4.
Match halves
Guaraní: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.74. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cerro Porteño: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-4. Average goals 2.17, BTTS 17%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Porteño are showing better current form: they have picked up 7 more points than Guaraní in their last five matches (10 versus 6), winning 3 games and conceding just 4 goals. The visitors are also creating slightly more high-quality chances away from home, with an average xG of 1.45 compared with Guaraní’s 1.38 at home, while also averaging 5 shots on target per match against 4 for the hosts. However, home advantage favours Guaraní, who win 50% of their home matches, score an average of 1.44 goals and concede just 1.00, whereas Cerro Porteño lose as many as 43% of their away games. Both teams have a very similar average number of goals scored in these conditions (1.44 for Guaraní and 1.43 for Cerro Porteño), while the hosts have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches. A closely contested draw therefore appears the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ strong recent run makes them a genuine threat.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Guaraní’s defence, which concedes just 0.56 goals per match on average and keeps a clean sheet in 56% of its games. BTTS has landed in only 31% of the hosts’ matches this season, well below Cerro Porteño’s 57% and the league average of 54%. Cerro Porteño scores an average of 1.43 goals and creates chances worth 1.45 xG, but fails to score in 29% of away matches, which is a significant risk against such a solid defence. The recent form of both sides has been more open, with BTTS occurring in 60% of their last five matches; however, Guaraní has still conceded only 1.0 goal per game during this period. A scenario in which at least one team fails to score therefore remains more likely than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Guaraní have an exceptionally solid home defense, conceding an average of just 0.56 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 56% of games. Across the entire season, none of Guaraní’s matches exceeded the Over 3.5 goals line, while Over 3.5 goals occurred in 36% of Cerro Porteño’s matches. The teams’ last five games confirm a moderate tempo: Guaraní scored 6 and conceded 5 goals, while Cerro Porteño scored 7 and conceded 4, averaging approximately 2.2 goals per match. Estimated totals of 1.25 goals for the home side and 0.95 for the visitors point to a scoreline closer to 1:1 or 1:0 than to an open, high-scoring game. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5 goals, supported by Guaraní’s defensive strength and the very low historical frequency of high-scoring results in their home matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Guaraní concede an average of just 0.25 goals before the break at home, while Cerro Porteño concede 0.43 away from home. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in the first half in 75% of their matches, compared with 64% for the visitors, which points to a cautious opening. After the break, the advantage should shift towards Guaraní: they score an average of 0.63 goals and concede just 0.31, while Cerro Porteño allow opponents an average of 0.93 goals. Guaraní have won the second half in 44% of matches, compared with just 21% for Cerro Porteño, and their post-break goal difference stands at +5 versus -4 for the visitors. Cerro Porteño’s current form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, but the hosts’ defensive profile and the visitors’ weakness after the break most strongly support the X/1 HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Porteño is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Guaraní · 2 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.4 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Guaraní · 0.93 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Guaraní scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro Porteño is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Guaraní · 1.63 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaraní
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Guaraní 1 - 1 - 4 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 2.17, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 1:1 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 1, Cerro Porteño won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño?
Guaraní score 1.19 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.40. The Division Profesional average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Guaraní's matches and 43% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Guaraní and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.