Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive average of 2.33 goals per match at home, supported by a good shot conversion rate of 17%. Deportivo Recoleta, despite a 50% away win rate, shows significantly lower offensive efficiency with just 1.25 goals on average per away match and a lower xG (1.07 vs 1.63 of the hosts). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Guaraní could leverage the home advantage and higher shooting efficiency. Guaraní's goal difference in home matches (+4) and their edge in possession (51% vs 47%) further favor the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Guaraní holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaraní played Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Deportivo Recoleta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.56 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 56%, Deportivo Recoleta 60%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 56%, Deportivo Recoleta 40%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Guaraní has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.12. Guaraní: 11.4 shots per match, Deportivo Recoleta: 10.5.
Match halves
Guaraní: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (7 goals). Deportivo Recoleta: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní displays solid home form with a 67% win rate and an impressive average of 2.33 goals per match at home, supported by a good shot conversion rate of 17%. Deportivo Recoleta, despite a 50% away win rate, shows significantly lower offensive efficiency with just 1.25 goals on average per away match and a lower xG (1.07 vs 1.63 of the hosts). The recent form of both teams is poor, but Guaraní could leverage the home advantage and higher shooting efficiency. Guaraní's goal difference in home matches (+4) and their edge in possession (51% vs 47%) further favor the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Guaraní holds the advantage, although the balanced level of both teams means a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guaraní is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.56 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.2 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.1 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Guaraní scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaraní
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.21 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 56% | 50% | • 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Guaraní 3 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 3:1 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 3, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Guaraní score 1.56 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.20. The Division Profesional average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Guaraní's matches and 60% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Guaraní and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guaraní vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.