Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano: match statistics
Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guaraní played Sportivo Ameliano in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Don Eduardo Acosta Caballero. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Guaraní: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sportivo Ameliano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guaraní scores 1.18 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Sportivo Ameliano scores 1.25 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guaraní 46%, Sportivo Ameliano 64%. Over 2.5: Guaraní 43%, Sportivo Ameliano 36%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Sportivo Ameliano has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.25. Guaraní: 11.2 shots per match, Sportivo Ameliano: 12.4.
Match halves
Guaraní: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Sportivo Ameliano: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Guaraní: 76-90+ (12 goals). Sportivo Ameliano: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guaraní have a clear offensive edge at home, where they average 1.43 goals per match and create chances worth 1.33 xG, while Sportivo Ameliano score 1.08 goals away from home with 1.13 xG. The hosts also register more shots on target, averaging 3.86 compared with 3.38, and their shooting efficiency stands at 12% versus 10% for the visitors. The defences are at a similar level, with Guaraní conceding 1.07 goals per home match and Ameliano exactly 1.00 away from home. Recent form does not offer the hosts complete comfort, however: they have scored just 5 goals in their last five matches and won only once, while the visitors have scored 6 times and recorded 2 victories. Sportivo Ameliano draw in as many as 46% of their away matches, making a draw a very realistic outcome, but Guaraní’s superior attacking quality at home slightly favours a 1 result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Sportivo Ameliano have recorded BTTS in 77% of their league matches, well above Guaraní’s 53% and the league average of 52%, strongly supporting goals from both sides. In their last five matches, both teams registered BTTS in 60% of games, with goal records of 5:6 for Guaraní and 6:5 for Ameliano, respectively. Guaraní average 1.40 xG at home, while Ameliano have generated 1.45 xG across their last five appearances, with the hosts allowing 1.16 xG. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of matches, so their defence should give the home side a solid chance of scoring. BTTS - Yes is slightly preferred, although Guaraní’s 33% clean-sheet rate and the moderate league average of 2.44 goals limit confidence in the prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to a moderate number of goals: Guaraní score an average of 1.40 goals, while Sportivo Ameliano average 1.08, with mean xG figures of 1.40 and 1.13, respectively. The hosts’ defense concedes just 0.93 goals per match, while the visitors have not exceeded the 3.5-goal line in any game this season, compared with just 27% of Guaraní’s matches. Overall, matches involving the two teams finished Under 3.5 goals in 73% of Guaraní’s games and in as many as 100% of Sportivo Ameliano’s. Their last five matches have produced an average of 2.2 goals per game for each team, so the projected total of 2.33 goals clearly supports the Under 3.5 goals selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Guaraní were level after 45 minutes in 73% of their matches, compared with 31% for Sportivo Ameliano, while averaging just 0.93 and 0.85 goals in the first half, respectively. In their last five matches, the visitors failed to score a single first-half goal, and the average total number of goals in their first halves was only 0.25. After the break, Guaraní have greater potential, averaging 0.87 goals in the second half compared with 0.69 for their opponents, while also boasting the better full-season record: 1.40 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per match. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 4.27 shots on target compared with Sportivo’s 3.38, and their xG stands at 1.40 versus 1.13. The X/1 scenario is therefore the most likely: a cautious, evenly matched start should turn into a narrow Guaraní lead after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guaraní | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sportivo Ameliano is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Guaraní · 1.25 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Guaraní · 0.96 goals / match - Sportivo Ameliano
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Sportivo Ameliano keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Sportivo Ameliano scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guaraní
Over / Under - Sportivo Ameliano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sportivo Ameliano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guaraní
Sportivo Ameliano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Guaraní | Liga | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Guaraní 2 - 2 - 2 Sportivo Ameliano. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano?
The Division Profesional match finished Guaraní 1:1 Sportivo Ameliano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Guaraní and Sportivo Ameliano?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 2, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Guaraní score 1.18 goals per game on average and Sportivo Ameliano 1.25. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Guaraní's matches and 64% of Sportivo Ameliano's.
What form are Guaraní and Sportivo Ameliano in?
Over the last 5 games Guaraní have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sportivo Ameliano 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guaraní vs Sportivo Ameliano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.