Gubbio vs Ascoli: match statistics
Ascoli displays substantially better form and stats this season. The visitors are on an impressive run of five consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2 in their last five matches. Their efficiency in away games is high - a 57% win rate, averaging 1.57 goals per game, and an edge in ball possession (65%). Gubbio looks solid at home with 43% Clean Sheets, but has only a 36% home win rate and averages a mere 1 goal per fixture. The difference in quality between the teams is also visible in the goal difference - Ascoli has a +11 in away matches, while Gubbio is at just +3 at home. All xG metrics and scoring efficiency work in favor of the visitors, making them the clear favorites for this clash.
Gubbio vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gubbio played Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Gubbio: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ascoli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gubbio scores 0.86 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.73 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gubbio 34%, Ascoli 37%. Over 2.5: Gubbio 10%, Ascoli 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.19. Gubbio: 9.2 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.3.
Match halves
Gubbio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Ascoli: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Gubbio: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli displays substantially better form and stats this season. The visitors are on an impressive run of five consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2 in their last five matches. Their efficiency in away games is high - a 57% win rate, averaging 1.57 goals per game, and an edge in ball possession (65%). Gubbio looks solid at home with 43% Clean Sheets, but has only a 36% home win rate and averages a mere 1 goal per fixture. The difference in quality between the teams is also visible in the goal difference - Ascoli has a +11 in away matches, while Gubbio is at just +3 at home. All xG metrics and scoring efficiency work in favor of the visitors, making them the clear favorites for this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Gubbio · 3 pts / match - Ascoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Gubbio · 1.73 goals / match - Ascoli
Ascoli is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Gubbio · 0.63 goals / match - Ascoli
Gubbio scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 53% (16 of 30 matches).
Ascoli scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Ascoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Gubbio · 1.7 pts / match - Ascoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gubbio
Ascoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gubbio 0 - 1 - 0 Ascoli. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Ascoli?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 1:3 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Gubbio score 0.86 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.73. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Gubbio's matches and 37% of Ascoli's.
What form are Gubbio and Ascoli in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ascoli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Ascoli?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gubbio vs Ascoli: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.