Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Gubbio presents solid home form with 46% clean sheets and only 15% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Athletic Carpi has distinct problems in away matches, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game and recording a massive 57% loss rate. The difference in goal difference is significant – Gubbio has a positive +2 at home, while Carpi has -9 away. Recent form also favors the hosts: Gubbio earned 2 PPG in the last 5 matches (3 wins), while Carpi only 0.8 PPG (1 win, 3 losses). The xG metrics (1.21 for Gubbio at home vs 1.43 for Carpi away) alongside the hosts' better defensive efficiency suggest their advantage in this clash.
Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gubbio played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gubbio: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gubbio scores 0.81 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.89 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gubbio 33%, Athletic Carpi 43%. Over 2.5: Gubbio 7%, Athletic Carpi 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.19. Gubbio: 9.2 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.5.
Match halves
Gubbio: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.37. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Gubbio: 31-45+ (6 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gubbio presents solid home form with 46% clean sheets and only 15% losses at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent at home. Athletic Carpi has distinct problems in away matches, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game and recording a massive 57% loss rate. The difference in goal difference is significant – Gubbio has a positive +2 at home, while Carpi has -9 away. Recent form also favors the hosts: Gubbio earned 2 PPG in the last 5 matches (3 wins), while Carpi only 0.8 PPG (1 win, 3 losses). The xG metrics (1.21 for Gubbio at home vs 1.43 for Carpi away) alongside the hosts' better defensive efficiency suggest their advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gubbio is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Gubbio · 0.8 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Gubbio · 0.89 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Gubbio is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Gubbio · 1.25 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Gubbio scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gubbio is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Gubbio · 0.96 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gubbio
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.56 | 2.26 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 64% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gubbio 1 - 0 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 2:1 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
Gubbio score 0.81 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gubbio's matches and 43% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Gubbio and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi?
The statistical background for Gubbio vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.