Gubbio vs Forlì: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced meeting with a prevalence for a draw. Gubbio presents a very defensive attitude at home with 78% draws in home matches and just 11% victories, making them an extremely difficult opponent to beat on their own turf. Forlì has poor form in away matches with 60% losses and only 30% wins, however, their offensive potential (averaging 1 goal per away match) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%) give them a chance for points. Recent form for both teams is average (Gubbio 1 pt/match, Forlì 0.8 pt/match), and the goal difference of the hosts (-1) and visitors (-7) in their respective matches confirms Gubbio's defensive character and Forlì's defensive problems. Given Gubbio's tendency to draw at home and Forlì's instability away, the most likely result is a split of points.
Gubbio vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gubbio played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Gubbio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Forlì: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gubbio scores 0.80 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.19 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gubbio 40%, Forlì 52%. Over 2.5: Gubbio 10%, Forlì 48%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.25. Gubbio: 9.6 shots per match, Forlì: 11.0.
Match halves
Gubbio: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.35. Forlì: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Gubbio: 31-45+ (5 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced meeting with a prevalence for a draw. Gubbio presents a very defensive attitude at home with 78% draws in home matches and just 11% victories, making them an extremely difficult opponent to beat on their own turf. Forlì has poor form in away matches with 60% losses and only 30% wins, however, their offensive potential (averaging 1 goal per away match) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%) give them a chance for points. Recent form for both teams is average (Gubbio 1 pt/match, Forlì 0.8 pt/match), and the goal difference of the hosts (-1) and visitors (-7) in their respective matches confirms Gubbio's defensive character and Forlì's defensive problems. Given Gubbio's tendency to draw at home and Forlì's instability away, the most likely result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gubbio | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gubbio is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Gubbio · 0.8 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Gubbio · 1.19 goals / match - Forlì
Gubbio is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Gubbio · 1.48 goals / match - Forlì
Gubbio scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Forlì scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Gubbio keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gubbio
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Gubbio · 1.24 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gubbio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gubbio
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Gubbio | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.65 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 37% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gubbio 1 - 0 - 0 Forlì. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gubbio vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Gubbio 2:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gubbio vs Forlì?
Gubbio score 0.80 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.19. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Gubbio's matches and 52% of Forlì's.
What form are Gubbio and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Gubbio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Forlì 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gubbio vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.