Guingamp vs Bastia: match statistics
Guingamp vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guingamp play Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Guingamp: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Bastia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guingamp scores 1.24 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.68 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guingamp 50%, Bastia 32%. Over 2.5: Guingamp 56%, Bastia 18%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Guingamp has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.29. Guingamp: 12.4 shots per match, Bastia: 11.5.
Match halves
Guingamp: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65. Bastia: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Guingamp: 16-30 (9 goals). Bastia: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Guingamp to win (1), because the hosts generate a clear offensive edge at home: home xG 1.51 vs away xG 1.18 for visitors, with 13.38 shots and 4.13 on target per match compared to 10.13 and 3.38 for Bastia. Over the season Guingamp scored 42 goals vs Bastia’s 22 and have a higher finishing rate (9% vs 7%), increasing their chance to convert chances into goals. However, note the hosts’ poor run in the last five matches: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, only 4 scored and 9 conceded (0.2 points per match), while Bastia over the same period have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with 8 goals and 1.2 points per match. Defensive differences are minimal (Guingamp concedes 1.31 goals per home match vs Bastia 1.19 on the road), but the hosts have a higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 25%) and a much lower rate of failing to score at home (31% vs 56%), which supports them as slight favorites. Considering the higher xG, possession (58% vs 49%) and shot advantage for the hosts and Bastia’s weaker away efficiency, I assess probabilities as: Guingamp 55%, draw 30%, Bastia 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guingamp | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bastia is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Guingamp · 1.4 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guingamp is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Guingamp · 0.68 goals / match - Bastia
Bastia is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Guingamp · 1.15 goals / match - Bastia
Guingamp scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
Bastia scores in 47% of matches (16 of 34 matches), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Guingamp
Over / Under — Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guingamp is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Guingamp · 0.97 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 15%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guingamp
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Guingamp | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.53 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Guingamp 1 - 0 - 0 Bastia. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guingamp vs Bastia?
The Ligue 2 match finished Guingamp 0:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guingamp vs Bastia?
Guingamp score 1.24 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.68. The Ligue 2 average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Guingamp's matches and 32% of Bastia's.
What form are Guingamp and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Guingamp have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Bastia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guingamp vs Bastia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guingamp vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.