Guingamp vs Boulogne: match statistics
Guingamp has performed solidly at home, recording a 33% win rate and averaging 1.33 goals per game, while their expected goals (xG 1.41) suggests potential for improved efficiency. Boulogne adopts a defensive approach on the road, averaging just 0.88 goals per game despite an xG of 1.61, indicating poor finishing execution. Recent form is comparable for both sides (1.2 points per game over the last five), yet Guingamp holds the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and generates a higher shot volume in home fixtures. Considering the hosts' dominance in possession, superior home scoring efficiency, and Boulogne's offensive struggles away (failing to score in 38% of matches), I anticipate a Guingamp victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the visitors' tendency to split points (38% away draw rate).
Guingamp vs Boulogne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Guingamp played Boulogne in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Guingamp: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Boulogne: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Guingamp scores 1.47 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Boulogne scores 1.06 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Guingamp 59%, Boulogne 59%. Over 2.5: Guingamp 71%, Boulogne 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Boulogne has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.31. Guingamp: 11.7 shots per match, Boulogne: 12.0.
Match halves
Guingamp: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.65. Boulogne: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Guingamp: 0-15 (6 goals). Boulogne: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Guingamp has performed solidly at home, recording a 33% win rate and averaging 1.33 goals per game, while their expected goals (xG 1.41) suggests potential for improved efficiency. Boulogne adopts a defensive approach on the road, averaging just 0.88 goals per game despite an xG of 1.61, indicating poor finishing execution. Recent form is comparable for both sides (1.2 points per game over the last five), yet Guingamp holds the advantage in possession (56% vs 45%) and generates a higher shot volume in home fixtures. Considering the hosts' dominance in possession, superior home scoring efficiency, and Boulogne's offensive struggles away (failing to score in 38% of matches), I anticipate a Guingamp victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the visitors' tendency to split points (38% away draw rate).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Guingamp | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Guingamp is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Guingamp · 1.2 pts / match - Boulogne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guingamp is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Guingamp · 1.06 goals / match - Boulogne
Boulogne is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - Guingamp · 1.53 goals / match - Boulogne
Guingamp scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Boulogne keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Boulogne scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Guingamp
Over / Under - Boulogne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guingamp is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Guingamp · 0.65 pts / match - Boulogne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Boulogne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Guingamp
Boulogne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Guingamp | Liga | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.50 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 47% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Guingamp 0 - 1 - 0 Boulogne. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Guingamp vs Boulogne?
The Ligue 2 match finished Guingamp 3:0 Boulogne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Guingamp score 1.47 goals per game on average and Boulogne 1.06. The Ligue 2 average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Guingamp's matches and 59% of Boulogne's.
What form are Guingamp and Boulogne in?
Over the last 5 games Guingamp have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Boulogne 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guingamp vs Boulogne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guingamp vs Boulogne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.