France - Ligue 2Stade du RoudourouData current as of 14 October 2026

Guingamp vs Pau: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Guingamp vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Guingamp play Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Stade du Roudourou.

Current form

Guingamp: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pau: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Guingamp scores 1.25 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Pau scores 1.13 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Guingamp 63%, Pau 38%. Over 2.5: Guingamp 63%, Pau 25%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Pau has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.45. Guingamp: 13.6 shots per match, Pau: 15.0.

Match halves

Guingamp: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. Pau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Guingamp: 0-15 (3 goals). Pau: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 2: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.07)
(3.52)
(3.31)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match1.13
GuingampPau
1.63Goals conceded / match1
GuingampPau
52%Average possession48%
GuingampPau
5.25Shots on target / match4.5
GuingampPau

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.63Shots per match15
GuingampPau
5.25Shots on target4.5
GuingampPau
9.2%Shot conversion7.5%
GuingampPau
52%Possession48%
GuingampPau
1.45xG for1.56
GuingampPau
1.51xG against1.29
GuingampPau

Shooting quality

Guingamp: BalancedPau: Attacking
GuingampPau
Accuracy (shots on target)39%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Pau is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Guingamp · 1.6 pts / match - Pau

Guingamp
DDWLL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Pau
DDLWW
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Guingamp is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - Guingamp · 1.13 goals / match - Pau

Pau is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.63 goals / match - Guingamp · 1 goals / match - Pau

Guingamp scoring profile: very strong

Guingamp scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Pau scoring profile: very strong

Pau scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

10Goals scored (season)9
GuingampPau
13Goals conceded (season)8
GuingampPau
2.88Average goals in match2.13
GuingampPau
8Goals scored (last 5)8
GuingampPau
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
GuingampPau

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal63%
GuingampPau
38%2 goals38%
GuingampPau
13%3 goals13%
GuingampPau
0%4 goals0%
GuingampPau

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal75%
GuingampPau
50%2 goals25%
GuingampPau
25%3 goals0%
GuingampPau
0%4 goals0%
GuingampPau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
GuingampPau
13%BTTS in both halves13%
GuingampPau
25%Scored in both halves13%
GuingampPau

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
GuingampPau
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GuingampPau
80%BTTS - last 560%
GuingampPau

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
GuingampPau
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
GuingampPau
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
GuingampPau

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
GuingampPau
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
GuingampPau
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
GuingampPau

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pau is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Guingamp · 1.38 pts / match - Pau

Guingamp - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Pau - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.38
GuingampPau
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.5
GuingampPau
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
GuingampPau
1Average goals (1st half)0.88
GuingampPau
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
GuingampPau
75%No goal before half-time63%
GuingampPau

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.25
GuingampPau
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
GuingampPau
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
GuingampPau
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.25
GuingampPau
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
GuingampPau
25%No goal after half-time63%
GuingampPau

Guingamp - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pau - second-half results

38% W13% D50% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Guingamp - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Guingamp
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Pau
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Guingamp

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

GuingampLigaPau
Average goals in match▲ 2.882.58▼ 2.13
Both teams scored▲ 63%57%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%44%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▼ 13%27%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 63%60%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%79%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Guingamp 0 - 1 - 1 Pau. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Pau FC
2 : 1
En Avant Guingamp
En Avant Guingamp
2 : 2
Pau FC

FAQ

When do Guingamp and Pau play?

Guingamp face Pau on 16 October 2026 in Ligue 2 at Stade du Roudourou. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Guingamp and Pau?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 0, Pau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Guingamp vs Pau?

Guingamp score 1.25 goals per game on average and Pau 1.13. The Ligue 2 average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Guingamp's matches and 38% of Pau's.

What form are Guingamp and Pau in?

Over the last 5 games Guingamp have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pau 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guingamp vs Pau?

The statistical background for Guingamp vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.