Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: match statistics
Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gwangju played Bucheon 1995 in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Gwangju: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bucheon 1995: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gwangju scores 0.67 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Bucheon 1995 scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gwangju 33%, Bucheon 1995 50%. Over 2.5: Gwangju 50%, Bucheon 1995 33%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Bucheon 1995 has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.00. Gwangju: 8.0 shots per match, Bucheon 1995: 9.0.
Match halves
Gwangju: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Bucheon 1995: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Gwangju: 61-75 (2 goals). Bucheon 1995: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Gwangju averages 1.5 goals per home match and registers 3.5 shots on target with a 25% conversion rate, whereas Bucheon averages 1.0 goals away and 2.0 shots on target with a 13% conversion. In the last five matches the hosts scored 4 goals and average 1.0 point per game, while the visitors scored only 2 goals and 0.6 points, which gives Gwangju an offensive edge. At the same time Gwangju conceded 11 goals in their last five games and their average xG against in home matches is 2.18, so their defense can be exposed; Bucheon also have 67% of away games without scoring and lower away xG (1.02). Considering the higher home efficiency of the hosts (25% conversion, 50% home clean sheets) and the better points return in the last five matches, I expect a narrow Gwangju victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis points toward a higher probability of a BTTS - Yes scenario: Gwangju has a seasonal BTTS rate of 67% versus Bucheon’s 33%, while the league BTTS level sits at 56%, generally favoring both teams scoring. The home side conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 per match) and has had an opponent xG of 2.01 over that span, indicating vulnerability to conceding. Bucheon scored only 2 goals in their last five fixtures (0.4 per match) but generated an average of 1.13 xG in that period and seasonally posts xG_for 1.02 with a conversion rate of 13%, so they realistically create chances they can convert. Additionally, Gwangju produces 1.21 xG seasonally and averages 3.0 shots on target per match versus Bucheon’s 2.0, giving the hosts a realistic chance to score at least one goal. Based on this, I tip BTTS - Yes at 62% probability versus 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculated expected goals: home 1.22 (home xG 1.21 and xG against visitors 1.22), away 1.30 (away xG 1.02 and xG against hosts 1.59), totaling 2.52 expected goals. A Poisson approximation with λ=2.52 yields probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈72%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈46%, and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈25%. This season Gwangju has 67% of matches with over 1.5 goals, while Bucheon 33%; in the last 5 matches Gwangju had Over 2.5 in 60% of games, Bucheon only 20%. Gwangju concedes on average 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches, and Bucheon scores on average 1.0 goal this season, which combined with the higher home xG increases the goal risk. Therefore the strongest and most reliable signal is to play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams frequently draw at half-time: Gwangju had a half-time draw in 100% of their matches this season (3/3), Bucheon in 67% (2/3), and in the last 5 matches the half-time draw rates were 60% for Gwangju and 80% for Bucheon. The visitors are stronger after the break — Bucheon earned 5 points in second halves (an average of 1.67 points) versus 2 points for Gwangju (an average of 0.67), and the average goals scored after the break are 0.67 for Bucheon compared to 0.33 for the hosts. Quality-of-chance statistics show Gwangju has an xG of 1.21 but concedes an xG of 1.59, while Bucheon has an xG of 1.02 and concedes 1.22, indicating weaker defense from the home side and better execution by the visitors (shot conversion 13% vs 7%). Bucheon also has a higher season win percentage (33% vs 0% for Gwangju), therefore the most likely and strongest signal is a half-time draw and an away win by full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gwangju | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gwangju is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Gwangju · 0.6 pts / match - Bucheon 1995
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bucheon 1995 is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Gwangju · 0.83 goals / match - Bucheon 1995
Bucheon 1995 is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Gwangju · 1 goals / match - Bucheon 1995
Gwangju scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Bucheon 1995 keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Bucheon 1995 scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gwangju
Over / Under - Bucheon 1995
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bucheon 1995 is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Gwangju · 0.83 pts / match - Bucheon 1995
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gwangju - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bucheon 1995 - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gwangju
Bucheon 1995
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Gwangju | Liga | Bucheon 1995 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 32% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 0:1 Bucheon 1995. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
Gwangju score 0.67 goals per game on average and Bucheon 1995 0.83. The K League 1 average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Gwangju's matches and 50% of Bucheon 1995's.
What form are Gwangju and Bucheon 1995 in?
Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bucheon 1995 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gwangju vs Bucheon 1995: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.