South Korea - K League 1Data current as of 08 September 2026

Gwangju vs Incheon United: match statistics

Gwangju crest
Gwangju
3 : 2half-time 1:1
Incheon United crest
Incheon United
155%(2.06)
X27%(2.94)
218%(3.25)

Gwangju displays better form in the last five matches with 1.4 points per game and a streak of lwwld, while Incheon United achieves just 0.8 points per game with a form of wdlll. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, evidencing their solid standing, whereas the guests sit in 10th. Gwangju remains unbeaten at home this season (0 losses), while Incheon United has already recorded an away defeat. The goal difference for both teams in the last five matches is similar (4:3 for Gwangju, 5:5 for Incheon), but home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts. Considering all factors, Gwangju has a clear advantage, although Incheon United may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.

Gwangju vs Incheon United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gwangju played Incheon United in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Gwangju: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match. Incheon United: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gwangju scores 0.00 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. Incheon United scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gwangju 0%, Incheon United 100%. Over 2.5: Gwangju 0%, Incheon United 100%. League level: BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Gwangju has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.02. Gwangju: 10.0 shots per match, Incheon United: 8.0.

Match halves

Gwangju: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Incheon United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Gwangju: 0-15 (0 goals). Incheon United: 76-90+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

K League 1: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 83%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Gwangju displays better form in the last five matches with 1.4 points per game and a streak of lwwld, while Incheon United achieves just 0.8 points per game with a form of wdlll. The hosts occupy 4th place in the table, evidencing their solid standing, whereas the guests sit in 10th. Gwangju remains unbeaten at home this season (0 losses), while Incheon United has already recorded an away defeat. The goal difference for both teams in the last five matches is similar (4:3 for Gwangju, 5:5 for Incheon), but home advantage and better overall form favor the hosts. Considering all factors, Gwangju has a clear advantage, although Incheon United may put up resistance, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

37Possession (%)63
GwangjuIncheon United
6Shots20
GwangjuIncheon United
5Shots on target6
GwangjuIncheon United
1.03xG2.35
GwangjuIncheon United
1Corners3
GwangjuIncheon United
39Dangerous attacks93
GwangjuIncheon United
14Fouls17
GwangjuIncheon United
1Cards4
GwangjuIncheon United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0Goals scored / match1
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals conceded / match2
GwangjuIncheon United
66%Average possession55%
GwangjuIncheon United
2Shots on target / match2
GwangjuIncheon United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10Shots per match8
GwangjuIncheon United
2Shots on target2
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Shot conversion12.5%
GwangjuIncheon United
66%Possession55%
GwangjuIncheon United
1.14xG for1.02
GwangjuIncheon United
0.84xG against1.54
GwangjuIncheon United

Shooting quality

Gwangju: BalancedIncheon United: Balanced
GwangjuIncheon United
Accuracy (shots on target)20%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gwangju
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Incheon United
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gwangju scoring profile: mixed

Gwangju scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Incheon United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Incheon United scoring profile: mixed

Incheon United scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Gwangju keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 matches).

0Goals scored (season)1
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals conceded (season)2
GwangjuIncheon United
0Average goals in match3
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals scored (last 5)1
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals conceded (last 5)2
GwangjuIncheon United

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%2 goals0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%3 goals0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%4 goals0%
GwangjuIncheon United

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%2 goals100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%3 goals0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%4 goals0%
GwangjuIncheon United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

83%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Scored in both halves0%
GwangjuIncheon United

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%BTTS - last 5100%
GwangjuIncheon United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United

2nd half

0%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
GwangjuIncheon United
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time100%
GwangjuIncheon United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gwangju - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Incheon United - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals scored (1st half)0
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
GwangjuIncheon United
0Average goals (1st half)0
GwangjuIncheon United
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
GwangjuIncheon United
100%No goal before half-time100%
GwangjuIncheon United

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
GwangjuIncheon United
0Goals conceded (2nd half)2
GwangjuIncheon United
0Average goals (2nd half)3
GwangjuIncheon United
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United
100%No goal after half-time0%
GwangjuIncheon United

Gwangju - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Incheon United - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+2.0

Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gwangju - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Incheon United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.02.0
Average goals in match0.03.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%100%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gwangju
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Incheon United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
56%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gwangju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Incheon United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).

Teams vs league

GwangjuLigaIncheon United
Average goals in match 0.002.67 3.00
Both teams scored 0%83% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%50% 100%
Clean sheets 100%17% 0%
Goal before half-time 0%50% 0%
Goal after half-time 0%83% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
83%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+-16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Incheon UnitedYellow cardJuan Fernández Blanco
  2. Incheon UnitedYellow cardGun-Hee Kim
  3. GwangjuGoalKyoung-Rok ChoiAssist: Se-Jong Ju
  4. Incheon UnitedGoalHoo-Sung OhAssist: Myung-Sun Kim
  5. Incheon UnitedYellow cardChi-In Jung
  6. GwangjuGoalChang-Mu Shin
  7. GwangjuSubstitutionOn: Hólmbert Aron FridjonssonOff: Jung-In Park
  8. GwangjuGoalChang-Mu ShinAssist: Seungun Ha
  9. GwangjuYellow cardHólmbert Aron Fridjonsson
  10. Incheon UnitedSubstitutionOn: Chung-Yong LeeOff: Hoo-Sung Oh
  11. Incheon UnitedGoalJae-Min SeoAssist: Stefan Mugoša
  12. Incheon UnitedYellow cardMyung-Sun Kim

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Gwangju vs Incheon United?

The K League 1 match finished Gwangju 3:2 Incheon United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gwangju vs Incheon United?

Gwangju score 0.00 goals per game on average and Incheon United 1.00. The K League 1 average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Gwangju's matches and 100% of Incheon United's.

What form are Gwangju and Incheon United in?

Over the last 5 games Gwangju have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Incheon United 0-0-1 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gwangju vs Incheon United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gwangju vs Incheon United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.