Gyirmót vs Karcag SE: match statistics

Gyirmót score an average of 2.00 goals per home match and have found the net in all four of their home fixtures, but they also concede as many as 2.00 goals per game and have failed to keep a clean sheet. Karcag SE remain unbeaten after six matches this season, recording 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five, with a 12:8 goal difference. However, the visitors have been particularly draw-prone away from home: 67% of such matches ended level, although they concede just 0.67 goals per game. The hosts create slightly more chances, averaging 5 shots on target compared with Karcag’s 2.5, but the xG figures are very close: 1.44 for Gyirmót and 1.40 for the visitors. Gyirmót’s open games, combined with Karcag’s stability and run of draws, point to a closely contested match with a draw the most likely outcome.

Gyirmót has recorded BTTS in 100% of its matches this season, scoring an average of 2.33 goals while conceding 2.00 per game and keeping not a single clean sheet. Karcag SE has a 67% BTTS rate, which has risen to 100% across its last five appearances, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In their last five matches, the hosts allowed opponents to score 2.2 goals per game, clearly supporting the chances of an effective Karcag attack. The qualitative data also point towards goals from both sides: Karcag creates an average of 1.26 xG, while Gyirmót’s defence allows opponents 1.61 xG. The main risk to the pick is Karcag’s 33% clean-sheet rate this season; however, its defence also allows a high average of 2.03 xG, making a home goal and BTTS - Yes more likely.

In their matches so far at home, Gyirmót have averaged 2.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, while failing to keep a clean sheet in any of these games. Karcag average 1.67 goals scored away from home, while the hosts allow opponents an average xG of 1.43, which strengthens the visitors’ chances of scoring. In their last five appearances, both teams had at least three goals in 80% of their matches, with an average of 3.8 goals in Gyirmót games and 4.0 in Karcag matches. The hosts have had at least two goals in 100% of their home matches, while Karcag have reached this threshold in 67% of their away fixtures. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.05 goals and the offensive and defensive numbers of both teams clearly reduce the risk of a very low-scoring game.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Karcag win at the final whistle, as the visitors have been level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Gyirmót. Karcag have avoided defeat in each of their last five games, recording two wins and three draws, while the hosts suffered two defeats during this period. After the break, the visitors score an average of 1.6 goals, while Gyirmót concede as many as 1.6 goals, clearly favouring a turnaround in the visitors’ favour. Karcag’s advantage over the last five matches is also reflected in their average goals scored: 2.4 compared with the hosts’ 1.6, as well as their positive second-half goal difference of +3. Gyirmót do average four shots on target at home compared with Karcag’s 2.5, but their average xG against stands at 1.43, while their recent defence has conceded 2.2 goals per match.