Győri ETO vs Várda SE: match statistics
Győri ETO are top of the table and are in impressive form, especially at home where in their last five home matches they have recorded a dwlwdlwwwd series with a 50% win rate. Their advantage in offensive statistics is clear – averaging 1.5 goals per game at home with an xG of 2.23, indicating high efficiency. Várda SE, despite a decent league position, perform significantly worse away with a goal difference of -7 and only a 40% win rate in away matches. The difference in ball possession quality (65% vs 47%) and the average number of shots (18.6 vs 9.9) further supports the hosts. Taking all indicators into account, including the xG Against for the visitors (1.55) and the hosts' solid defense (40% clean sheets), a Győri ETO victory is the most likely scenario.
Győri ETO vs Várda SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Győri ETO played Várda SE in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Győri ETO: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Várda SE: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Győri ETO scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Várda SE scores 1.24 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Győri ETO 57%, Várda SE 43%. Over 2.5: Győri ETO 48%, Várda SE 48%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Győri ETO has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.34. Győri ETO: 17.4 shots per match, Várda SE: 11.4.
Match halves
Győri ETO: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.10. Várda SE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Győri ETO: 76-90+ (11 goals). Várda SE: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Győri ETO are top of the table and are in impressive form, especially at home where in their last five home matches they have recorded a dwlwdlwwwd series with a 50% win rate. Their advantage in offensive statistics is clear – averaging 1.5 goals per game at home with an xG of 2.23, indicating high efficiency. Várda SE, despite a decent league position, perform significantly worse away with a goal difference of -7 and only a 40% win rate in away matches. The difference in ball possession quality (65% vs 47%) and the average number of shots (18.6 vs 9.9) further supports the hosts. Taking all indicators into account, including the xG Against for the visitors (1.55) and the hosts' solid defense (40% clean sheets), a Győri ETO victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Győri ETO | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Győri ETO is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Győri ETO · 1.6 pts / match - Várda SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Győri ETO is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Győri ETO · 1.24 goals / match - Várda SE
Győri ETO is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Győri ETO · 1.57 goals / match - Várda SE
Győri ETO scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Várda SE scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Győri ETO keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Győri ETO
Over / Under - Várda SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Győri ETO is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Győri ETO · 1.1 pts / match - Várda SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Győri ETO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Győri ETO
Várda SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Győri ETO | Liga | Várda SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 90% | 89% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Győri ETO 0 - 0 - 1 Várda SE. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Győri ETO vs Várda SE?
The NB I match finished Győri ETO 1:0 Várda SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Győri ETO vs Várda SE?
Győri ETO score 2.00 goals per game on average and Várda SE 1.24. The NB I average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Győri ETO's matches and 43% of Várda SE's.
What form are Győri ETO and Várda SE in?
Over the last 5 games Győri ETO have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Várda SE 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Győri ETO vs Várda SE?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.