Hødd vs Lyn: match statistics

Hødd have a clear home advantage: they have won 70% of their home matches, while Lyn have won only 30% of their away games and lost as many as 40%. The hosts average 2.1 goals and 5.5 shots on target per match at their own stadium, outperforming Lyn’s away figures of 1.7 goals and 4.9 shots on target. Both defences allow opponents chances of similar quality, with average xG against standing at 1.86 for Hødd and 1.83 for Lyn, so the match should produce goals at both ends. However, Lyn are on an excellent five-match unbeaten run, scoring 16 goals, which significantly increases the visitors’ chances of securing a draw or causing an upset. Nevertheless, Hødd’s home record, featuring 7 wins in 10 matches, gives the hosts a slight edge.

Seasonal BTTS figures stand at 55% for Hødd and 60% for Lyn, while the league average is even higher at 64%. Both teams regularly create chances: Hødd averages 1.52 xG and 1.73 goals per match, while Lyn records 1.47 xG and 1.70 goals. The signal from the last five matches is particularly strong, with BTTS landing in 100% of Hødd’s games and 80% of Lyn’s, alongside averages of 2.2 and 3.2 goals scored, respectively. Hødd concedes an average of 2.36 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in only 9% of appearances, which strongly supports an away goal. The main risks to the pick are Lyn’s 30% clean-sheet rate and the fact that Hødd fails to score in 36% of its league matches; however, the current attacking form of both teams shifts the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.

The match profile clearly favors goals: Hødd average 1.73 goals and Lyn 1.70, while the hosts concede as many as 2.36 goals per game. The average xG figures also point to an open game, with Hødd creating chances worth 1.52 xG against Lyn’s 1.83 xG conceded, while Lyn generate 1.47 xG compared with Hødd’s 1.68 xG allowed. In their last five matches, both teams recorded a very high percentage of games with at least three goals: 100% for Hødd and 80% for Lyn, with their average goals for and against standing at 2.2:2.0 and 3.2:1.4, respectively. Over 1.5 goals has already landed in 91% of Hødd’s matches and 80% of Lyn’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick with a projected total of 3.25 goals.

Lyn are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws, while Hødd have lost just one of their five games during the same period. The visitors make very strong starts: across their last five matches, they have averaged 2.0 goals before half-time and held the lead at the break in 60% of cases, compared with Hødd’s 0.8 goals and 20% of half-time leads. Lyn’s defence has conceded an average of just 0.6 goals before the break, while the hosts have failed to score in the first half in 60% of their recent matches. After the interval, Hødd have a particular weakness, averaging just 0.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded in the second half throughout the season. The scenario in which Lyn lead at half-time and maintain their advantage until the final whistle is therefore most strongly supported by both current form and the hosts’ vulnerability in the closing stages of matches.