Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena played Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 27 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 50%, Arba Minch Kenema 50%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 33%, Arba Minch Kenema 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.02 vs 0.95. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.3 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 5.3.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.17. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.17.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (3 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
10Shots7
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target4
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.52xG1.39
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
6Corners3
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
104Dangerous attacks92
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
9Fouls14
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0Cards0
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.67Goals scored / match0.5
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1Goals conceded / match1.17
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
45%Average possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target / match1.83
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.33Shots per match5.33
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target1.83
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
10.5%Shot conversion9.4%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
45%Possession46%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.02xG for0.95
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.16xG against1.17
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: BalancedArba Minch Kenema: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hadiya Hosaena is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.4 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena
DDLDW
Season result split
17% W50% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Arba Minch Kenema
DLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W50% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-3
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hadiya Hosaena is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.5 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.17 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: very strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

4Goals scored (season)3
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
6Goals conceded (season)7
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1.67Average goals in match1.67
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)2
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal50%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%2 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
33%2 goals17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
17%3 goals17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

2nd half

33%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing
Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.17
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
1Average goals (1st half)0.67
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
50%No goal before half-time67%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per match (2nd half)0.67
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.17
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
0.67Average goals (2nd half)1
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema
83%No goal after half-time83%
Hadiya HosaenaArba Minch Kenema

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

0% W67% R33% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

0% W67% R33% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.00.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
54%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaArba Minch Kenema
Average goals in match 1.671.78 1.67
Both teams scored 50%38% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%29% 17%
Clean sheets 50%40% 17%
Goal before half-time 67%51% 50%
Goal after half-time 33%60% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.85
Home goals / match
0.93
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-9%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
51%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.67 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.50. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 50% of Arba Minch Kenema's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Arba Minch Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Arba Minch Kenema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.