Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar: match statistics
Hadiya Hosaena is in 10th place with a 6-6-7 record, benefiting from home matches, but their home form is unstable (22% wins, 44% losses). Bahardar in 9th place stands out with exceptional solidity – as many as 67% draws away from home and only 22% losses, as confirmed by a series of 5 consecutive draws in recent matches. The hosts score an average of 1.11 goals per home game, while the visitors concede only 0.78 goals per away game and keep 44% clean sheets. Bahardar's advantage in possession (53% vs 47%) and their defensive stability suggest that the most likely scenario is a share of the points. Bahardar's poor offensive efficiency (56% of away matches without a goal) and Hadiya's average form give the hosts a slight advantage, but a draw remains the most probable outcome of this match.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena played Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bahardar: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.89 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 53%, Bahardar 37%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 37%, Bahardar 26%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 5.8 shots per match, Bahardar: 8.4.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42. Bahardar: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (6 goals). Bahardar: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.69 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena is in 10th place with a 6-6-7 record, benefiting from home matches, but their home form is unstable (22% wins, 44% losses). Bahardar in 9th place stands out with exceptional solidity – as many as 67% draws away from home and only 22% losses, as confirmed by a series of 5 consecutive draws in recent matches. The hosts score an average of 1.11 goals per home game, while the visitors concede only 0.78 goals per away game and keep 44% clean sheets. Bahardar's advantage in possession (53% vs 47%) and their defensive stability suggest that the most likely scenario is a share of the points. Bahardar's poor offensive efficiency (56% of away matches without a goal) and Hadiya's average form give the hosts a slight advantage, but a draw remains the most probable outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hadiya Hosaena is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / match - Bahardar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.74 goals / match - Bahardar
Bahardar is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.68 goals / match - Bahardar
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 58% (11 of 19 matches).
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Bahardar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahardar is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.05 pts / match - Bahardar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Bahardar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Bahardar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.95 | 1.69 | ▼ 1.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 26% | • 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 41% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 54% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 0 - 1 Bahardar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:1 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.89 goals per game on average and Bahardar 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 37% of Bahardar's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Bahardar in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bahardar 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.