Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena played Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 19 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.88 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 50%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 59%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 28%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 47%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.02. Hadiya Hosaena: 5.7 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.3.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena holds a slight form edge: in the last 5 matches they average 1.6 points per game (record 2-2-1), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank averages 1.4 points per game (2-1-2). Home advantage is also supported by marginally higher xG and attacking metrics at home — home xG is 1.07 versus 1.04 for the visitors, average shots 6.31 vs 5.75 and shots on target 2.38 vs 2.31, and hosts score on average 1.00 goals at home versus 0.94 for the away team. Conversely, the visitors have a better season tally (40 goals scored vs 28 for the hosts), but their away efficiency remains low and they draw as many as 50% of their away games, which increases the risk of a shared point. Defensively both teams are similar — they concede an average of 1.31 goals per game, with xG against of 1.35 (hosts) and 1.29 (guests), so I expect a low-scoring, tight contest. Considering the hosts' form advantage and slight xG edge combined with the visitors' high propensity to draw, I tip a home victory, with a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators favor both teams scoring: Hadiya Hosaena has 50% of matches with both teams scoring, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 69%, signaling well above the league level of 41%. Both sides also concede regularly — home side averages 1.06 goals conceded per match, visitors 1.31 — and score on average 1.56 and 0.94 goals respectively, so conditions for mutual scoring are present. Additionally, xG is 1.22 for the hosts versus 1.04 for the visitors, and shots on target are 3.2 vs 2.31 per match, showing the hosts create more chances but the visitors have sufficient xG and have scored 40 goals this season. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 40% and Hadiya conceded on average 0.6 goals versus 1.0 for the visitors, which slightly offsets the home advantage, yet the seasonal signal dominates (50% vs 69%). On this basis I assign a 65% probability to BTTS - Yes and 35% to No, recommending the "Yes" selection as most likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis: the home side has xG_for 1.22 and the visitors xG_against 1.29, giving expected home goals ≈ (1.22+1.29)/2 = 1.26; similarly visitors ≈ (1.04+1.13)/2 = 1.09, total ≈ 2.35 goals. With this mean a Poisson distribution yields probability of over 1.5 goals ≈ 68%, over 2.5 ≈ 42% and over 3.5 ≈ 21%, clearly favoring at least two strikes. Seasonal stats support this: Over 1.5 occurred for the home team in 81% of matches and for the visitors in 75%, while Over 2.5 is 50% for homes and 44% for guests. Additionally, homes average 7.4 shots and 3.2 on target with 20% conversion, visitors 5.75 shots and 2.31 on target with 16% conversion, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals despite the home side’s lower recent form in the last 5 matches (0.8 goals vs 1.0 for visitors). Considering xG (1.26 vs 1.09), high seasonal Over 1.5 rates (81%/75%) and shot metrics, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a home advantage: average goals per season 1.56 versus 0.94 for away teams, and higher xG 1.22 vs 1.04, with more shots 7.4 vs 5.75 and more shots on target 3.2 vs 2.31. At half-time, home teams led in 7 matches (44%) while away teams led in only 1 (6%), with average first-half goals 0.63 for hosts and 0.31 for visitors, which strongly supports a home lead at the break. Over the full season, home teams win 50% of matches compared to 13% for away teams, and hosts concede on average 1.06 goals per match versus 1.31 for opponents, so holding a lead is more likely than relinquishing it. Based on these figures the strongest scenario is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time; therefore I recommend the 1/1 HT/FT (Home/Home) selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hadiya Hosaena is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.25 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Hadiya Hosaena is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.19 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.16 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.88 | 1.80 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 28% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 40% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 1 - 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.25. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 59% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.