Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics

Hadiya Hosaena crest
Hadiya Hosaena
1 : 2half-time 0:1
Kedus Giorgis crest
Kedus Giorgis

Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hadiya Hosaena play Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 47%, Kedus Giorgis 32%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 24%, Kedus Giorgis 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.04. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 8.0.

Match halves

Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35.

Goals by minute

Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Hadiya Hosaena holds a slight edge based on finishing and form: they scored 3 goals in the last 5 matches and average 0.92 goals per home game, while Kedus Giorgis have only 1 goal in their last 5 and average 0.58 goals on the road. The visitors create significantly more chances (9.33 shots and 3.42 on target away vs 6.17 and 2.42 for the hosts) and record a higher xG (1.31 vs 1.12), but their conversion rate is only 6% compared to Hadiya’s 15%, translating into 58% of away matches without a goal versus 33% for the hosts. Defensively Kedus looks marginally better: they concede 1.08 goals on average away compared to 1.33 conceded by the hosts at home and have 17% clean sheets versus Hadiya’s 8%, which increases the likelihood of a draw. In the last 5 fixtures Hadiya have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1.0 point per game), while Kedus are without a win in their last 5 (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses; 0.4 points per game); therefore I forecast a home win. Considering the hosts’ superior efficiency and the high share of goalless games for the visitors, I assess the probabilities as 55% home, 25% draw and 20% away.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
6Shots18
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
1Shots on target9
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.81xG2.2
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
4Corners3
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
48Dangerous attacks60
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
-1Fouls-1
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
-1Cards-1
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.82Goals scored / match0.89
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.92Goals conceded / match0.84
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
46%Average possession48%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
2.05Shots on target / match2.97
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.08Shots per match7.95
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
2.05Shots on target2.97
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
13.4%Shot conversion11.2%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
46%Possession48%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
1.04xG for1.22
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
1.34xG against1.05
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Shooting quality

Hadiya Hosaena: Counter-attackingKedus Giorgis: Balanced
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kedus Giorgis is 117% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis

Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-8
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Kedus Giorgis
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
38% W30% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-12
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-8
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kedus Giorgis is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis

Kedus Giorgis is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.84 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).

Kedus Giorgis scoring profile: strong

Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

31Goals scored (season)33
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
35Goals conceded (season)31
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
1.74Average goals in match1.73
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal59%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
11%2 goals19%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3%3 goals8%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0%4 goals3%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal62%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
24%2 goals16%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3%3 goals5%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0%4 goals0%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time16%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
5%Scored in both halves8%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
40%BTTS - last 540%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

2nd half

55%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kedus Giorgis is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.46 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis

Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing
Kedus Giorgis - half-time state
32% leading49% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.46
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.89Average goals (1st half)0.92
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
55%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
63%No goal before half-time59%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.16
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.46
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
0.84Average goals (2nd half)0.81
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
66%Clean sheet after half-time65%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis
63%No goal after half-time73%
Hadiya HosaenaKedus Giorgis

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kedus Giorgis - second-half results

24% W43% R32% P
54
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kedus Giorgis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.60.4
1 goal100%20%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Kedus Giorgis
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
9
8
31-45
2
9
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-42%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Kedus Giorgis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Hadiya HosaenaLigaKedus Giorgis
Average goals in match 1.741.78 1.73
Both teams scored 47%40% 32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 24%28% 24%
Clean sheets 34%40% 38%
Goal before half-time 63%56% 59%
Goal after half-time 55%59% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 1 - 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis?

Hadiya Hosaena score 0.82 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.89. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 32% of Kedus Giorgis's.

What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Kedus Giorgis in?

Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis?

The statistical background for Hadiya Hosaena vs Kedus Giorgis — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.