Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents decidedly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 56% win rate on the road, while Hadiya Hosaena ranks 14th with just 25% wins at home. The visiting team has the advantage in key parameters: an average of 1.67 goals per away match versus 1.13 for the hosts at home, better shot conversion (19% vs 18%), and dominance in possession (58% vs 48%). Mekelakeya has a positive goal difference away (+7), while the hosts have a negative balance in home matches (-2). The form of the last five meetings also favors the visitors (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 for the hosts), and their defense is much more solid with 44% clean sheets away. Considering all indicators, Mekelakeya is the clear favorite for this meeting.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena played Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mekelakeya: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.88 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.26 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 53%, Mekelakeya 42%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 41%, Mekelakeya 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.07. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.6.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (5 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents decidedly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors occupy 5th place in the table with a 56% win rate on the road, while Hadiya Hosaena ranks 14th with just 25% wins at home. The visiting team has the advantage in key parameters: an average of 1.67 goals per away match versus 1.13 for the hosts at home, better shot conversion (19% vs 18%), and dominance in possession (58% vs 48%). Mekelakeya has a positive goal difference away (+7), while the hosts have a negative balance in home matches (-2). The form of the last five meetings also favors the visitors (1.8 points per match vs 0.8 for the hosts), and their defense is much more solid with 44% clean sheets away. Considering all indicators, Mekelakeya is the clear favorite for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.26 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.84 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.68 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.70 | ▲ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 41% | • 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa Beshah
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.88 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.26. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 42% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mekelakeya 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.