Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a -3 goal difference, although their last 5 matches overall brought an improvement (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema stands out for their stability with 40% away draws and a solid defense (40% clean sheets), while their recent form is 4 draws and 1 win in 5 matches. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.12 vs 1.15) and a comparable average of goals per game (around 1.0), which further confirms the balance of power. Ball possession at 47% vs 46% and similar shot conversion rates (16% vs 14%) point to a tightly contested rivalry. Given the visitors' tendency to draw and the hosts' difficulties in winning at home, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena played Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sheger Ketema: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.87 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 and concedes 0.91. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 52%, Sheger Ketema 45%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 30%, Sheger Ketema 27%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Sheger Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.06. Hadiya Hosaena: 5.9 shots per match, Sheger Ketema: 7.8.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (6 goals). Sheger Ketema: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Hadiya Hosaena shows poor home form with only an 18% home win rate and a -3 goal difference, although their last 5 matches overall brought an improvement (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema stands out for their stability with 40% away draws and a solid defense (40% clean sheets), while their recent form is 4 draws and 1 win in 5 matches. Both teams have similar xG metrics (1.12 vs 1.15) and a comparable average of goals per game (around 1.0), which further confirms the balance of power. Ball possession at 47% vs 46% and similar shot conversion rates (16% vs 14%) point to a tightly contested rivalry. Given the visitors' tendency to draw and the hosts' difficulties in winning at home, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hadiya Hosaena is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.4 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.91 goals / match - Sheger Ketema
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Sheger Ketema scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sheger Ketema is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.14 pts / match - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.87 | 1.76 | • 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 41% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 30% | 27% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 58% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hadiya Hosaena 0 - 1 - 0 Sheger Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 0:2 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.87 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.86. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 45% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Hadiya Hosaena vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.