Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.
Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hadiya Hosaena played Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.93 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.53 and concedes 1.18. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hadiya Hosaena 53%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 41%. Over 2.5: Hadiya Hosaena 40%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 24%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Hadiya Hosaena has higher xG: 1.10 vs 0.97. Hadiya Hosaena: 6.3 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.2.
Match halves
Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (5 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hadiya Hosaena presents decidedly better form than Welwalo Adigrat Uni, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – the hosts earned 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while the guests recorded a streak of five consecutive draws without a victory. The hosts' advantage is visible in offensive efficiency – averaging 1.14 goals per match at home versus merely 0.57 goals for the guests away, with Welwalo failing to score at all in 57% of away matches. The difference in league position (11th place hosts vs 19th place guests) and goal difference (-1 for Hadiya at home vs -2 for Welwalo away) additionally support this prediction. Although the guests have a better average ball possession (52%) and more clean sheets away (43%), their offensive helplessness and low shot conversion (8%) significantly limit chances for a favorable result. A draw remains a viable option due to the guests' defensive solidity in recent matches, however, the form advantage and home pitch asset argue for a victory for Hadiya Hosaena.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hadiya Hosaena | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hadiya Hosaena is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hadiya Hosaena is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 0.53 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya Hosaena is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.18 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Hadiya Hosaena scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 47% of matches (8 of 17 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hadiya Hosaena
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena · 1.12 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hadiya Hosaena
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hadiya Hosaena | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.93 | 1.76 | • 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 42% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Hadiya Hosaena 1:2 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Hadiya Hosaena score 0.93 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.53. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Hadiya Hosaena's matches and 41% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Hadiya Hosaena and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Hadiya Hosaena have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hadiya Hosaena vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.