Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961: match statistics
Hajduk Split presents solid home form with 67% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61%) and create significantly more chances (15.89 shots on average), which translates into higher expected goals (1.91 xG). Istra 1961 has problems in away matches, losing 44% of meetings and achieving only 33% wins, with a lower xG (1.21). The recent form of both teams is even (Hajduk 1.6 PPG, Istra 1.4 PPG); however, home advantage and statistics point to greater chances for the hosts. Nevertheless, Istra can score on the road (1.44 average), which may lead to a balanced match, hence a significant probability of a draw.
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hajduk Split played Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Hajduk Split: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Istra 1961: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hajduk Split scores 1.61 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.33 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hajduk Split 39%, Istra 1961 67%. Over 2.5: Hajduk Split 44%, Istra 1961 61%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.32. Hajduk Split: 14.6 shots per match, Istra 1961: 10.4.
Match halves
Hajduk Split: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.06. Istra 1961: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (8 goals). Istra 1961: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hajduk Split presents solid home form with 67% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61%) and create significantly more chances (15.89 shots on average), which translates into higher expected goals (1.91 xG). Istra 1961 has problems in away matches, losing 44% of meetings and achieving only 33% wins, with a lower xG (1.21). The recent form of both teams is even (Hajduk 1.6 PPG, Istra 1.4 PPG); however, home advantage and statistics point to greater chances for the hosts. Nevertheless, Istra can score on the road (1.44 average), which may lead to a balanced match, hence a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hajduk Split | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.4 pts / match - Istra 1961
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.33 goals / match - Istra 1961
Hajduk Split is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.28 goals / match - Istra 1961
Hajduk Split scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Istra 1961 scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
Over / Under - Istra 1961
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 0.83 pts / match - Istra 1961
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Istra 1961 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hajduk Split
Istra 1961
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Hajduk Split | Liga | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hajduk Split 2 - 0 - 0 Istra 1961. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
The Prva HNL match finished Hajduk Split 1:2 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Istra 1961?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 2, Istra 1961 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
Hajduk Split score 1.61 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.33. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Hajduk Split's matches and 67% of Istra 1961's.
What form are Hajduk Split and Istra 1961 in?
Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Istra 1961 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.