Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: match statistics
Hajduk Split presents a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 62% of their home matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (+9). The home side averages 1.62 goals per game at their stadium with only an 8% failure-to-score rate, evidencing an effective offense supported by high ball possession (60%). Lokomotiva Zagreb is performing very poorly on the road, winning just 8% of their away matches and conceding a steep average of 1.92 goals per game without keeping a single clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also leans in favor of the hosts: 1.85 for Hajduk compared to 1.31 for Lokomotiva, and the visitors' negative goal difference (-12) in away matches confirms their defensive issues. Lokomotiva's poor form in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and the fact that Hajduk is currently 2nd in the table further justify the predicted home win.
Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hajduk Split played Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hajduk Split: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lokomotiva Zagreb: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hajduk Split scores 1.48 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.20 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hajduk Split 40%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 72%. Over 2.5: Hajduk Split 40%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 44%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.37. Hajduk Split: 15.0 shots per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb: 10.8.
Match halves
Hajduk Split: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.88. Lokomotiva Zagreb: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (11 goals). Lokomotiva Zagreb: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hajduk Split presents a decisive advantage as the home team, winning 62% of their home matches and maintaining a solid goal difference (+9). The home side averages 1.62 goals per game at their stadium with only an 8% failure-to-score rate, evidencing an effective offense supported by high ball possession (60%). Lokomotiva Zagreb is performing very poorly on the road, winning just 8% of their away matches and conceding a steep average of 1.92 goals per game without keeping a single clean sheet. The difference in expected goals (xG) also leans in favor of the hosts: 1.85 for Hajduk compared to 1.31 for Lokomotiva, and the visitors' negative goal difference (-12) in away matches confirms their defensive issues. Lokomotiva's poor form in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and the fact that Hajduk is currently 2nd in the table further justify the predicted home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hajduk Split | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.4 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.2 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Hajduk Split · 1.52 goals / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hajduk Split is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Hajduk Split · 1.28 pts / match - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hajduk Split
Lokomotiva Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Hajduk Split | Liga | Lokomotiva Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.68 | • 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 25% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hajduk Split 2 - 0 - 0 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Hajduk Split 2:1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hajduk Split won 2, Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split score 1.48 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.20. The Prva HNL average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Hajduk Split's matches and 72% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.
What form are Hajduk Split and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Hajduk Split have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hajduk Split vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.