Hajer vs Al Anwar: match statistics

Hajer have the better recent overall record, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 9 goals in that run, while Al Anwar have recorded just 1 win and scored 6 goals. However, the hosts are defensively vulnerable, conceding 9 goals in their last five matches, and they lost their only home appearance so far 0:3. Al Anwar drew their only away match 0:0, kept a clean sheet and limited their opponents to 1.10 xG, but they also failed to score despite averaging 1.26 xG. Neither team has scored in their matches played at the respective venue, which significantly increases the likelihood of a draw. Nevertheless, Hajer’s greater attacking efficiency across their last five outings, along with the advantage of 9th place over 14th, gives the hosts a slight edge to win.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: Hajer recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Al Anwar did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts scored and conceded an average of 1.8 goals, whereas the visitors scored 1.2 and conceded 1.6, creating a favorable profile for a goal exchange. Hajer averaged 1.48 xG, while Al Anwar averaged 1.22 xG, with the visitors’ defense allowing opponents 1.73 xG per match. Seasonal data is very limited and shows 0% BTTS for both teams, but the last five matches provide a much stronger and more up-to-date signal. BTTS - Yes is therefore slightly preferred, although the risk remains significant due to the league’s BTTS average of only 39%.

Hajer’s last five matches produced an average of 3.6 goals, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 goals per game. Al Anwar recorded an average of 2.8 goals per match over the same period, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Hajer went over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 5 matches, while Al Anwar did so in 60% of such games, clearly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. The xG figures also point toward an attacking game: Hajer generates an average of 1.48 xG, while Al Anwar allows opponents 1.73 xG. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as even at a more cautious tempo, the data from both teams clearly indicates a high probability of at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Hajer win after the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 75% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Al Anwar. However, Hajer have clearly stronger current full-time form: they won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 1.8 goals, while Al Anwar won only 20% of their matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.25 goals, more than twice as many as the visitors’ 0.6, and goals were scored in the second half in 100% of their recent matches. Al Anwar’s advantage in the first half is not particularly strong, as they average 0.6 goals before the break, compared with just 0.25 for Hajer, which still supports a cautious, level start. In addition, Hajer’s xG stands at 1.41, while Al Anwar’s defence allows an average of 1.10 xG, so following an even first half, the hosts have solid grounds to settle the result after the interval.