Haka vs PK-35: match statistics

PK-35 hold a slight edge heading into this match: they have won 75% of their away games, while Haka have won 62% of their home fixtures. The visitors’ defence is their main strength — they concede just 0.17 goals per away game on average and keep a clean sheet in 83% of matches, while Haka concede an average of 1.15 goals at home. However, the hosts pose a greater attacking threat: their home xG is 1.72 compared with PK-35’s 1.41 away from home, and their average goals scored stand at 2.15 and 1.83 respectively. The last five matches also favour the visitors, who have recorded 2 wins and conceded 4 goals, while Haka have won once and conceded 9. The hosts’ potent attack could keep the contest close, but PK-35’s away form and tighter defence point towards an away win.

The strongest evidence against both teams scoring is PK-35’s record: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 83% of matches, concede an average of just 0.17 goals, and their games have seen both teams score in only 8% of cases. In their last 5 matches, PK-35 conceded 4 goals, while both teams scored in 20% of those games, supporting a cautious assessment of Haka’s chances of finding the net. On the other hand, Haka have averaged 1.46 goals per match and recorded an xG of 1.82 across their last 5 appearances, so the visitors’ defence could be breached. PK-35 have greater scoring potential, averaging 1.83 goals, while Haka concede 1.23 per match and 1.8 recently. Despite these arguments in favour of goals, PK-35’s exceptionally low rate of matches in which both teams score makes BTTS - No more likely: at least one team is expected not to score.

The strongest signal is under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 83% of PK-35 matches and 69% of Haka matches. The visitors kept a clean sheet in 83% of the matches covered by these statistics, limiting the hosts’ chances of a high scoring return despite their average of 1.46 goals scored. On the other hand, Haka concede an average of 1.23 goals, while PK-35 score 1.83, so a very low-scoring game is not a foregone conclusion either. Both teams went over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five matches, but the season-long figures were 54% and 42%, respectively. Therefore, the 2.4-goal projection points to a stronger likelihood of under 3.5 goals, although recent form calls for caution.

PK-35 led at the break in 50% of matches, compared with just 23% for Haka, making an away lead at half-time the most likely single scenario. The visitors average 0.92 goals before the break, versus 0.54 for the hosts, and concede just 0.17 goals per match during that period. PK-35’s record supports the likelihood of them holding their lead: they have won 75% of matches and kept a clean sheet in 83%, compared with 38% and 23%, respectively, for Haka. PK-35 have not conceded in the second halves covered by the season statistics, while Haka concede an average of 0.77 goals after the break. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 42% of the visitors’ matches; however, their more frequent leads and strong defence point primarily to an HT/FT result of 2/2.