Hamburger SV vs Augsburg: match statistics
Hamburger SV vs Augsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamburger SV played Augsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hamburger SV: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Augsburg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamburger SV scores 1.15 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Augsburg scores 1.22 and concedes 1.85. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamburger SV 59%, Augsburg 56%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 52%, Augsburg 59%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Augsburg has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.34. Hamburger SV: 12.1 shots per match, Augsburg: 12.8.
Match halves
Hamburger SV: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.63. Augsburg: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Hamburger SV: 31-45+ (8 goals). Augsburg: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamburger SV averages 1.43 goals scored at home and concedes 1.21, while Augsburg on the road scores 1.08 and concedes 2.00, giving the hosts a defensive edge. HSV registers on average 4.79 shots on target with a conversion of about 11%, whereas Augsburg has 4.23 shots on target and an 8% conversion, meaning the hosts are more efficient at finishing chances. Additionally, HSV has 14% clean sheets at home, while Augsburg has 0% clean sheets away and suffers 69% away defeats versus 29% home defeats, which reinforces the home-field advantage. In the last 5 matches Augsburg scored 8 and conceded 11 goals with an average of 1.2 points per game compared to HSV’s 0.8 points, and xG is similar (1.43 vs 1.39), therefore I forecast a home win, although a draw remains possible given the limited finishing by both teams.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show metrics favoring BTTS: Hamburg’s season BTTS rate is 50%, Augsburg’s 62%, with the league average at 57%. In the last 5 matches Hamburg had BTTS in 80% of games, Augsburg in 60%, and average goals conceded over that period are 1.6 (Hamburg) and 2.2 (Augsburg), indicating vulnerability to conceding for both sides. Offensive xG is similar: 1.43 for Hamburg and 1.39 for Augsburg, with xG against 1.51 vs 1.57 — both teams create and concede chances. Additionally, Augsburg has 0% clean sheets compared to Hamburg’s 36%, and matches over 2.5 goals account for 50% (Hamburg) and 69% (Augsburg), further boosting the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on these specific figures the strongest signal is the “BTTS: Yes” scenario, therefore I recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 2.82 (1.43 for Hamburger SV and 1.39 for Augsburg), which in a Poisson model translates to roughly a 77% chance of at least 2 goals, 54% for at least 3 goals and 31% for at least 4 goals. Season-long metrics confirm an offensive bias: Hamburg has Over 1.5 in 71% of matches and Over 2.5 in 50%, while Augsburg posts 92% and 69% respectively, with the league average for Over 2.5 at 62%. Both sides concede heavily (Hamburg 1.71 goals conceded per match, Augsburg 2.00) and the percentage of matches where both teams scored is 50% and 62% respectively, increasing the likelihood of goals from both ends. Hamburg is slightly more efficient in conversion (11% vs 8%) with on average 12.5 shots and 4.64 on target, compared to Augsburg’s 13.08 shots and 4.23 on target, so I expect the total goals to exceed 1.5. Therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal from the presented data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hamburger SV has superior home metrics: on average 1.36 goals scored and 1.5 points per home match versus 1.08 goals and 0.77 points for Augsburg away; home win percentage is 43% vs 23% for visitors. A draw at the break is frequent — hosts were level at half-time in 43% of their season fixtures and in 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%), while Augsburg trailed at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches (60%). After the break Hamburg’s advantage is pronounced: on average 1.0 goals and 1.64 points in second halves versus 0.54 goals and 0.62 points for Augsburg, and the hosts scored 7 goals in minutes 46–60 compared to 2 for the visitors. xG is similar (1.43 vs 1.39), but Hamburg is more efficient (shot conversion 11% vs 8%) and registers more SOT (4.64 vs 4.23), increasing the chance of a post-break turnaround; therefore the most probable and strongest signal is a half-time draw and a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Augsburg is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1.2 pts / match - Augsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Augsburg is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.22 goals / match - Augsburg
Hamburger SV is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.85 goals / match - Augsburg
Hamburger SV scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Augsburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Augsburg scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Augsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamburger SV is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 0.96 pts / match - Augsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Augsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamburger SV
Augsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.19 | ▼ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 62% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 84% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hamburger SV 0 - 0 - 1 Augsburg. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Augsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 1:1 Augsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Augsburg?
Hamburger SV score 1.15 goals per game on average and Augsburg 1.22. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Hamburger SV's matches and 56% of Augsburg's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Augsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Augsburg 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Augsburg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.