Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: match statistics
Bayer Leverkusen appears to be the favorite despite playing away. The visitors boast a significantly better season record (12 wins compared to Hamburg's 6) and superior scoring efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 11% for the hosts). A key factor is Leverkusen's dominance in possession (58% vs 46% HSV) and better recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Hamburger SV holds the home advantage and a positive home goal difference (+4); however, Leverkusen displays higher quality, evidenced by their 6th place standing against the hosts' 11th. Considering all statistics, Bayer Leverkusen has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamburger SV played Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 4 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hamburger SV: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bayer Leverkusen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamburger SV scores 1.13 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Bayer Leverkusen scores 1.91 and concedes 1.26. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamburger SV 57%, Bayer Leverkusen 57%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 52%, Bayer Leverkusen 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Bayer Leverkusen has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.41. Hamburger SV: 12.9 shots per match, Bayer Leverkusen: 13.7.
Match halves
Hamburger SV: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.70. Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Hamburger SV: 76-90+ (6 goals). Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayer Leverkusen appears to be the favorite despite playing away. The visitors boast a significantly better season record (12 wins compared to Hamburg's 6) and superior scoring efficiency (15% conversion rate vs 11% for the hosts). A key factor is Leverkusen's dominance in possession (58% vs 46% HSV) and better recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Hamburger SV holds the home advantage and a positive home goal difference (+4); however, Leverkusen displays higher quality, evidenced by their 6th place standing against the hosts' 11th. Considering all statistics, Bayer Leverkusen has a realistic chance of securing three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayer Leverkusen is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.91 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.26 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1.7 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 3.18 | • 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 0:1 Bayer Leverkusen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hamburger SV score 1.13 goals per game on average and Bayer Leverkusen 1.91. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Hamburger SV's matches and 57% of Bayer Leverkusen's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayer Leverkusen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The statistical background for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.