Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this match, a fact confirmed by all available statistics. The Bavarians hold the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, while Hamburger SV sits in 14th place with a 4-6-8 record. Bayern's away form shows dominance with an 89% win rate, averaging 3.56 goals per game and not registering a single match without a goal scored (FTS% 0%). Hamburger SV has failed to win any of its last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), and its home form shows only a 44% win rate. The quality gap between the teams is enormous – Bayern has a +25 goal difference away from home, while HSV is only +4 at home. Considering the advantage in possession (67% vs 47%), shot accuracy (19% vs 10%), and the higher xG (2.29 vs 1.63), Bayern should secure a comfortable victory.
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamburger SV played Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Hamburger SV: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Bayern München: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamburger SV scores 0.94 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Bayern München scores 3.79 and concedes 0.84. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamburger SV 50%, Bayern München 58%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 50%, Bayern München 100%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.31 vs 1.43. Hamburger SV: 13.1 shots per match, Bayern München: 19.2.
Match halves
Hamburger SV: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Bayern München: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 2.21.
Goals by minute
Hamburger SV: 46-60 (4 goals). Bayern München: 76-90+ (24 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this match, a fact confirmed by all available statistics. The Bavarians hold the top spot in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, while Hamburger SV sits in 14th place with a 4-6-8 record. Bayern's away form shows dominance with an 89% win rate, averaging 3.56 goals per game and not registering a single match without a goal scored (FTS% 0%). Hamburger SV has failed to win any of its last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), and its home form shows only a 44% win rate. The quality gap between the teams is enormous – Bayern has a +25 goal difference away from home, while HSV is only +4 at home. Considering the advantage in possession (67% vs 47%), shot accuracy (19% vs 10%), and the higher xG (2.29 vs 1.63), Bayern should secure a comfortable victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayern München is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 2.4 pts / match - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 303% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 3.79 goals / match - Bayern München
Bayern München is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 0.84 goals / match - Bayern München
Hamburger SV scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Bayern München scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 2.21 pts / match - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 84%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +13 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (24 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +19 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamburger SV
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hamburger SV 0 - 0 - 1 Bayern München. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 2:2 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
Hamburger SV score 0.94 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.79. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's matches and 58% of Bayern München's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Bayern München 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.