Germany - BundesligaVolksparkstadionData current as of 14 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hamburger SV play Stuttgart in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Volksparkstadion.

Current form

Hamburger SV: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Stuttgart: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hamburger SV scores 1.00 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Stuttgart scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80. League average: 3.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hamburger SV 40%, Stuttgart 60%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 80%, Stuttgart 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.

xG, shots and style

Stuttgart has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.16. Hamburger SV: 10.6 shots per match, Stuttgart: 15.8.

Match halves

Hamburger SV: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Stuttgart: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Hamburger SV: 76-90+ (2 goals). Stuttgart: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 78%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.16)
(4.08)
(1.89)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hamburger SVStuttgart
1Goals scored / match1.6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3Goals conceded / match1.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
41%Average possession52%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3.8Shots on target / match6
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.6Shots per match15.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
3.8Shots on target6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
9.4%Shot conversion10.1%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
41%Possession52%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.16xG for1.77
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.93xG against2
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Shooting quality

Hamburger SV: BalancedStuttgart: Attacking
Hamburger SVStuttgart
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hamburger SV
LLLWW
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Stuttgart
LWLLW
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 2.00BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stuttgart is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.6 goals / match - Stuttgart

Stuttgart is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.8 goals / match - Stuttgart

Hamburger SV scoring profile: mixed

Hamburger SV scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Stuttgart scoring profile: very strong

Stuttgart scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

5Goals scored (season)8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
15Goals conceded (season)9
Hamburger SVStuttgart
4Average goals in match3.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
15Goals conceded (last 5)9
Hamburger SVStuttgart

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%2 goals40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%3 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0%4 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%2 goals40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%3 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%4 goals20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%Scored in both halves40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
40%BTTS - last 560%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stuttgart is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1.4 pts / match - Stuttgart

Hamburger SV - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Stuttgart - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.8Average goals (1st half)0.8
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%No goal before half-time60%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Hamburger SVStuttgart
1.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.4
Hamburger SVStuttgart
2.2Average goals (2nd half)2.6
Hamburger SVStuttgart
20%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart
60%No goal after half-time20%
Hamburger SVStuttgart

Hamburger SV - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stuttgart - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hamburger SV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.41.6
Average goals in match1.82.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stuttgart - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match0.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Stuttgart
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
204%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Stuttgart

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Hamburger SVLigaStuttgart
Average goals in match▲ 4.003.82▼ 3.40
Both teams scored▼ 40%60%• 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%78%▼ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%87%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%89%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.82
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.36
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+61%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
71%
2 goals
49%
3 goals
22%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Hamburger SV 1 - 0 - 1 Stuttgart. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Hamburger SV and Stuttgart play?

Hamburger SV face Stuttgart on 17 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Stuttgart?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamburger SV won 1, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV score 1.00 goals per game on average and Stuttgart 1.60. The Bundesliga average is 3.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Hamburger SV's matches and 60% of Stuttgart's.

What form are Hamburger SV and Stuttgart in?

Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Stuttgart 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.