Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Hamburger SV displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, with a favorable goal difference of +4, indicating offensive efficiency. Union Berlin has poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match on the road and a negative goal difference of -7. The last five matches for both teams confirm HSV's advantage (1.2 points per match) over Union Berlin (0.6 points per match). The higher average xG for the hosts (1.61 vs 1.42) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 7%) further support a Hamburger SV victory, although Union Berlin may offer resistance, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamburger SV played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Hamburger SV: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Union Berlin: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamburger SV scores 1.05 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.24 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamburger SV 50%, Union Berlin 62%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 50%, Union Berlin 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Hamburger SV has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. Hamburger SV: 13.2 shots per match, Union Berlin: 13.0.
Match halves
Hamburger SV: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70. Union Berlin: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Hamburger SV: 46-60 (5 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamburger SV displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their home ground. The hosts score an average of 1.5 goals per match at home, with a favorable goal difference of +4, indicating offensive efficiency. Union Berlin has poor away form with a 50% loss rate and only 30% wins, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match on the road and a negative goal difference of -7. The last five matches for both teams confirm HSV's advantage (1.2 points per match) over Union Berlin (0.6 points per match). The higher average xG for the hosts (1.61 vs 1.42) and better shot conversion rate (10% vs 7%) further support a Hamburger SV victory, although Union Berlin may offer resistance, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamburger SV | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamburger SV is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 0.6 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Berlin is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.24 goals / match - Union Berlin
Hamburger SV is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.62 goals / match - Union Berlin
Hamburger SV scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamburger SV
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Union Berlin is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1.1 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamburger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hamburger SV | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hamburger SV 0 - 1 - 0 Union Berlin. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 3:2 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
Hamburger SV score 1.05 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.24. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hamburger SV's matches and 62% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Hamburger SV and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Union Berlin 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.