Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hamburger SV played Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Hamburger SV: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Werder Bremen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hamburger SV scores 0.92 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 1.33 and concedes 1.75. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hamburger SV 42%, Werder Bremen 50%. Over 2.5: Hamburger SV 50%, Werder Bremen 58%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Werder Bremen has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. Hamburger SV: 13.3 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 12.8.

Match halves

Hamburger SV: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

Hamburger SV: 46-60 (3 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
12Shots10
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
6Shots on target3
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.58xG1.13
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
5Corners3
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
56Dangerous attacks39
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8Fouls13
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
2Cards6
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.92Goals scored / match1.33
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.5Goals conceded / match1.75
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
47%Average possession50%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
4.58Shots on target / match4.75
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.33Shots per match12.83
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
4.58Shots on target4.75
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
6.9%Shot conversion10.4%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
47%Possession50%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.42xG for1.45
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.7xG against1.8
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Shooting quality

Hamburger SV: BalancedWerder Bremen: Balanced
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Werder Bremen is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1.6 pts / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV
LLDLW
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Werder Bremen
WDWLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
WLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Werder Bremen is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.33 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Hamburger SV · 1.75 goals / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV scoring profile: strong

Hamburger SV scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

Werder Bremen scoring profile: very strong

Werder Bremen scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Hamburger SV keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

11Goals scored (season)16
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
18Goals conceded (season)21
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
2.42Average goals in match3.08
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
4Goals scored (last 5)5
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal75%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
25%2 goals33%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8%3 goals17%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8%4 goals8%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
33%2 goals50%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
17%3 goals33%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
17%4 goals17%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time8%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0%BTTS in both halves8%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
25%Scored in both halves17%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
60%BTTS - last 560%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamburger SV is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Hamburger SV · 1 pts / match - Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing
Werder Bremen - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1Average goals (1st half)1.17
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
58%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
75%No goal before half-time67%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)1.42
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.92
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
33%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen
50%No goal after half-time42%
Hamburger SVWerder Bremen

Hamburger SV - second-half results

8% W58% D33% L
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Werder Bremen - second-half results

42% W17% D42% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hamburger SV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Werder Bremen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hamburger SV
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Werder Bremen
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hamburger SV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Werder Bremen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Hamburger SVLigaWerder Bremen
Average goals in match 2.423.22 3.08
Both teams scored 42%56% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%63% 58%
Clean sheets 25%24% 25%
Goal before half-time 67%79% 75%
Goal after half-time 75%82% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Werder BremenYellow cardJens Stage
  2. Werder BremenGoalJens StageAssist: Romano Schmid
  3. Hamburger SVYellow cardLuka Vušković
  4. Werder BremenYellow cardKeke Maximilian Topp
  5. Werder BremenYellow cardMarco Grüll
  6. Werder BremenSubstitutionOn: Justin NjinmahOff: Keke Maximilian Topp
  7. Werder BremenYellow cardMarco Friedl
  8. Werder BremenGoalJustin NjinmahAssist: Romano Schmid
  9. Werder BremenSubstitutionOn: Victor Okoh BonifaceOff: Cameron Mitchel Puertas Castro
  10. Hamburger SVGoalYussuf Yurary PoulsenAssist: Miro Muheim
  11. Werder BremenSubstitutionOn: Samuel MbangulaOff: Marco Grüll
  12. Werder BremenYellow cardAbdoul Karim Coulibaly
  13. Werder BremenYellow cardRomano Schmid
  14. Hamburger SVYellow cardNicolai Remberg

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Sascha StegemannMatches officiated: 12
3.58Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins33%Draws25%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

The Bundesliga match finished Hamburger SV 3:2 Werder Bremen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

Hamburger SV score 0.92 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 1.33. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Hamburger SV's matches and 50% of Werder Bremen's.

What form are Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen in?

Over the last 5 games Hamburger SV have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Werder Bremen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.