Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: match statistics
Hamilton Academical presents impressive home form with 67% of home matches won and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.67 goals per match in home games, keeping a clean sheet in 56% of fixtures, which testifies to a solid defense. Cove Rangers have significantly weaker away statistics with 50% losses and only 30% away wins, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. Although the visitors have shown better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), their weakness in away games (40% FTS%) and lower xG (1.18 vs 1.37 for the hosts) indicate difficulties in scoring. The difference in league position (4th place vs 9th place) and Hamilton Academical's home advantage clearly point to a home victory as the most likely result.
Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cove Rangers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 1.75 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.05 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 45%, Cove Rangers 35%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 65%, Cove Rangers 45%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.27. Hamilton Academical: 9.9 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 9.9.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.90. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (7 goals). Cove Rangers: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical presents impressive home form with 67% of home matches won and a +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts concede an average of just 0.67 goals per match in home games, keeping a clean sheet in 56% of fixtures, which testifies to a solid defense. Cove Rangers have significantly weaker away statistics with 50% losses and only 30% away wins, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. Although the visitors have shown better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG), their weakness in away games (40% FTS%) and lower xG (1.18 vs 1.37 for the hosts) indicate difficulties in scoring. The difference in league position (4th place vs 9th place) and Hamilton Academical's home advantage clearly point to a home victory as the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cove Rangers is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.6 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.05 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Hamilton Academical is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.3 goals / match - Cove Rangers
Hamilton Academical scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Cove Rangers scores in 45% of matches (9 of 20 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.15 pts / match - Cove Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 20%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Cove Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Cove Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hamilton Academical 0 - 1 - 1 Cove Rangers. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 2:0 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 0, Cove Rangers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
Hamilton Academical score 1.75 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.05. The League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 35% of Cove Rangers's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Cove Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cove Rangers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hamilton Academical vs Cove Rangers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.