Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics
Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.
Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hamilton Academical played Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Hamilton Academical: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hamilton Academical scores 1.50 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.35 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hamilton Academical 38%, Stenhousemuir 42%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 54%, Stenhousemuir 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.15. Hamilton Academical: 9.7 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 8.2.
Match halves
Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.81. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Hamilton Academical: 61-75 (8 goals). Stenhousemuir: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hamilton Academical | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.8 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.35 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.81 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Hamilton Academical scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
Stenhousemuir scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hamilton Academical
Stenhousemuir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Hamilton Academical | Liga | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.62 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hamilton Academical 1 - 1 - 0 Stenhousemuir. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 0:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Stenhousemuir won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
Hamilton Academical score 1.50 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.35. The League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 42% of Stenhousemuir's.
What form are Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir in?
Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.