Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics

150%(3.37)
X30%(3.20)
220%(2.04)

Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.

Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hamilton Academical play Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The match date is 3 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hamilton Academical scores 1.47 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.36 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hamilton Academical 42%, Stenhousemuir 39%. Over 2.5: Hamilton Academical 58%, Stenhousemuir 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.20. Hamilton Academical: 9.7 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 8.9.

Match halves

Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (10 goals). Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Hamilton Academical displays impressive home form with 62% of matches won at home and a +11 goal difference on their own ground. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match while conceding just 0.62 goals, keeping a clean sheet in 54% of home matches. Stenhousemuir, despite a good position in the table, has weaker away form with just 42% wins and a high rate of 42% of matches without scoring a goal away. The recent form of both teams is even, however Hamilton's home advantage and their solid defense in home matches give them better chances for victory. Stenhousemuir can play tough and draws in 33% of away matches, making a draw a realistic alternative, but the statistics speak for the hosts.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
11Shots9
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
2Shots on target3
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.16xG1.14
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
5Corners8
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
44Dangerous attacks51
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
15Fouls13
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
5Cards3
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.47Goals scored / match1.36
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.19Goals conceded / match0.75
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
47%Average possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
4.58Shots on target / match4.28
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match8.86
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
4.58Shots on target4.28
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
15.2%Shot conversion15.4%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
47%Possession50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.27xG for1.2
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.29xG against1.18
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Shooting quality

Hamilton Academical: Counter-attackingStenhousemuir: Efficient finishing
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
Accuracy (shots on target)47%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stenhousemuir is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical · 2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical
LWWWL
Season result split
44% W19% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-7-13
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-2-6
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Stenhousemuir
WDLWW
Season result split
50% W36% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-13-5
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-6-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hamilton Academical is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 1.36 goals / match - Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Hamilton Academical · 0.75 goals / match - Stenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical scoring profile: mixed

Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).

53Goals scored (season)49
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
43Goals conceded (season)27
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
2.67Average goals in match2.11
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal78%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
42%2 goals39%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
25%3 goals14%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
8%4 goals6%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
36%2 goals22%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
17%3 goals3%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
6%4 goals0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Hamilton Academical - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 36 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time11%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
36%Scored in both halves31%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
40%BTTS - last 520%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hamilton Academical - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing
Stenhousemuir - half-time state
39% leading42% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.58
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.19Average goals (1st half)0.94
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
64%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
44%No goal before half-time50%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.72
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
53%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir
47%No goal after half-time42%
Hamilton AcademicalStenhousemuir

Hamilton Academical - second-half results

44% W25% R31% P
56
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

47% W31% R22% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hamilton Academical - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hamilton Academical
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
9
7
16-30
8
7
31-45
10
12
46-60
8
7
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
5
3
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hamilton Academical

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Hamilton AcademicalLigaStenhousemuir
Average goals in match 2.672.62 2.11
Both teams scored 42%50% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%49% 33%
Clean sheets 39%28% 50%
Goal before half-time 75%73% 69%
Goal after half-time 81%83% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Hamilton Academical 1 - 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

The League One match finished Hamilton Academical 0:1 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Hamilton Academical won 1, Stenhousemuir won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

Hamilton Academical score 1.47 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.36. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Hamilton Academical's matches and 39% of Stenhousemuir's.

What form are Hamilton Academical and Stenhousemuir in?

Over the last 5 games Hamilton Academical have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.