HamKam vs Lillestrøm: match statistics
HamKam vs Lillestrøm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HamKam played Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Briskeby Arena. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
HamKam: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lillestrøm: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
HamKam scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Lillestrøm scores 1.70 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HamKam 75%, Lillestrøm 40%. Over 2.5: HamKam 75%, Lillestrøm 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Lillestrøm has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. HamKam: 11.1 shots per match, Lillestrøm: 13.1.
Match halves
HamKam: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00. Lillestrøm: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
HamKam: 76-90+ (5 goals). Lillestrøm: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a HamKam win (1). The hosts win 80% of home matches, average 2.0 goals per game at home and have not had a goalless home game (FTS 0%), scoring 9 goals in their last 5 matches, which yields 2.0 points per game over that period. Lillestrøm concede only 0.6 goals on average away and have 60% clean sheets, but score just 1.2 goals away and fail to score in 40% of away matches. Efficiency is key — HamKam convert 18% of shots at home versus Lillestrøm’s 9% on the road, despite the visitors taking more shots (13.8 vs 11.4) and enjoying higher possession (50% vs 45%). xG shows the visitors have higher expected goals away (xG For 1.56 vs 1.34 for HamKam), but the hosts are better at turning xG into goals, so I expect an even but slightly HamKam-favoured match.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "no" scenario due to Lillestrøm's defensive profile: 60% clean sheets this season and an average of 0.6 goals conceded on the road. HamKam score 2.2 goals at home on average and have a season BTTS of 60%, but their home clean sheets are only 20%, indicating hosts more often concede a response. From an xG quality perspective the visitors are at 1.56 vs HamKam's 1.49, however Lillestrøm have a low conversion rate of 9% despite 5.2 shots on target, while HamKam convert 18%, so the visitors may fail to turn chances into goals. Although Lillestrøm have conceded 1.4 goals on average in the last 5 matches, the season data (60% clean sheets and 0.6 GA away) and the visitors' low season BTTS of 20% form a strong defensive signal. Therefore I estimate BTTS - No at 65% and BTTS - Yes at 35%, selecting "no" as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis shows: HamKam has xG_for 1.49, while Lillestrøm concedes xG at 1.67, yielding an expected ~1.58 goals for the home side; the visitors have xG_for 1.56 against HamKam’s xG conceded 1.33, i.e. ~1.45 expected goals. Total expected goals ≈ 3.03, slightly above the league average 2.99, favoring outcomes over common thresholds. Season data confirm HamKam’s attacking profile: 2.2 goals average at home, 100% of matches >1.5 and 80% >2.5, whereas Lillestrøm score 1.2 away and have only 20% of matches >2.5. Additionally, HamKam’s shot conversion is higher (18% vs 9% for Lillestrøm), increasing the likelihood that xG converts into goals. Based on a Poisson distribution with λ=3.03 I estimate Over 1.5 ≈ 81%, Over 2.5 ≈ 58% and Over 3.5 ≈ 36%, therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal data show HamKam led at the break in 60% of matches (3 of 5) and averages 1.0 goals in the first half versus 0.2 for Lillestrøm, giving the home side a clear advantage before halftime. After the break Lillestrøm demonstrates offensive strength — they scored 2 goals in the 46–60 minute window and have 60% wins in second halves (wins_2hg_percentage_away = 60.0), while HamKam conceded 3 goals in 46–60 minutes, increasing the risk of losing a lead. Additionally, HamKam’s home matches feature 60% BTTS and 100% of games with at least one goal before the break (seasonOver05PercentageHT_home = 100.0), and xG is comparable: 1.49 for the home side versus 1.56 for the visitors. In the last 5 rounds the hosts are in better form ('wwdwl', 60% wins) than the visitors ('lwlwl', 40% wins), which supports the scenario of HamKam scoring the opening goal. For these reasons the most likely and strongest signal is HT/FT 1/X (HamKam leading at half-time, draw at full-time) — I combine HamKam’s 60% half-time leads, Lillestrøm’s 2 goals in 46–60 minutes and 60% BTTS as the main premises.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HamKam | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HamKam is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - HamKam · 1.2 pts / match - Lillestrøm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - HamKam · 0.9 goals / match - Lillestrøm
HamKam scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Lillestrøm scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while HamKam keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HamKam
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HamKam is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - HamKam · 1.3 pts / match - Lillestrøm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HamKam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HamKam
Lillestrøm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| HamKam | Liga | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 82% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): HamKam 1 - 1 - 0 Lillestrøm. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HamKam vs Lillestrøm?
The Eliteserien match finished HamKam 2:0 Lillestrøm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HamKam and Lillestrøm?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches HamKam won 1, Lillestrøm won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HamKam vs Lillestrøm?
HamKam score 1.63 goals per game on average and Lillestrøm 1.70. The Eliteserien average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 75% of HamKam's matches and 40% of Lillestrøm's.
What form are HamKam and Lillestrøm in?
Over the last 5 games HamKam have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lillestrøm 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HamKam vs Lillestrøm?
The statistical background for HamKam vs Lillestrøm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.