HamKam vs Tromsø: match statistics
HamKam vs Tromsø: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HamKam played Tromsø in Eliteserien (Norway). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Briskeby Arena. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
HamKam: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Tromsø: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
HamKam scores 1.73 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Tromsø scores 1.57 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HamKam 73%, Tromsø 29%. Over 2.5: HamKam 73%, Tromsø 43%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Tromsø has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.39. HamKam: 11.7 shots per match, Tromsø: 13.4.
Match halves
HamKam: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.09. Tromsø: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
HamKam: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tromsø: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eliteserien: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a HamKam win (1): at home the hosts score on average 2.0 goals per match with an average xG of 1.40, while Tromsø score only 0.8 goals away with xG 1.14. HamKam average 11.5 shots and 5.17 on target at home per match with a conversion rate of 17%, whereas Tromsø away average 9.2 shots and 3.8 on target with a 9% conversion. The hosts concede 1.17 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while the visitors concede 1.4 goals away and fail to score in 40% of their away games. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.6 points per game, but HamKam at their stadium have a run 'WLWWW' and a home win rate of 83%, whereas Tromsø win 40% and draw 40% of their away fixtures. Given the clear home advantage in scoring efficiency (2.0 vs 0.8 goals), number of on-target shots (5.17 vs 3.8) and the zero share of home games without scoring, I give HamKam the higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - No with a 70% probability vs 30%. HamKam concede only 0.78 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 67% of matches, while their season BTTS rate is just 22%, strongly favoring a clean sheet for the home side. Tromsø score 0.8 goals away, register 3.8 shots on target per game and have xG_for 1.14, and BTTS has occurred in only 20% of their last 5 matches, indicating real struggles in finding the net. HamKam create significantly more chances: xG 1.86 vs 1.14 and 15.78 shots vs 9.2, so any goal is more likely to come from the hosts rather than Tromsø, which supports the No Goal scenario. Although the league average BTTS is 55% and HamKam have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, the season metrics (67% clean sheets and 0.78 goals conceded) and Tromsø’s poor away scoring prompt me to pick BTTS - No as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The modeled expected goals are 1.64 for HamKam and 1.18 for Tromsø (total 2.82), calculated from home xG 1.86 and xG against visitors 1.42, and away xG 1.14 and xG against hosts 1.22. HamKam average 2.0 goals at home and have 89% of matches with over 1.5 goals; additionally, in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 8 goals (1.6 avg) while Tromsø have 7 (1.4), and shots on target are 6.11 vs 3.8, increasing the hosts' scoring probability. A Poisson distribution for total 2.82 yields about 77% chance for Over 1.5, ~54% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5; these figures partially align with seasonal indicators (HamKam Over1.5 at home 89%, Over2.5 at home 44%, league average 2.98 goals). HamKam also have 67% clean sheets at home and only 22% of home games with Both Teams To Score for the hosts, suggesting many 2:0-type outcomes (Over 1.5 without Both Teams To Score). Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (77%); Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (54%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (31%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HamKam led at the break in 5 of their matches so far (56%) and scored 11 goals in the first 45 minutes (0.89 on average), while Tromsø led only once (20%) and have 4 first-half goals (0.4 on average), indicating a home advantage already before halftime. The hosts average 2.0 goals per match versus Tromsø’s 0.8, have a higher xG (1.86 vs 1.14) and register more shots on target (6.11 vs 3.8), meaning they create and convert more chances. HamKam keep a clean sheet at halftime in 89% of games and add on average 1.11 goals in the second half, whereas the visitors add 0.4, so a lead at 45' has a strong chance of being maintained and translating into a win. Considering also that the home side win 67% of matches at home versus 40% wins for the away side, the most likely scenario is HT/FT 1/1, and I assign the highest probability to that outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HamKam | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HamKam is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - HamKam · 1.57 goals / match - Tromsø
Tromsø is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - HamKam · 1 goals / match - Tromsø
HamKam scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Tromsø keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
Tromsø scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while HamKam keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HamKam
Over / Under - Tromsø
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tromsø is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - HamKam · 1.71 pts / match - Tromsø
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HamKam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tromsø - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HamKam
Tromsø
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| HamKam | Liga | Tromsø | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 55% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | • 82% | 82% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): HamKam 0 - 2 - 2 Tromsø. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HamKam vs Tromsø?
The Eliteserien match finished HamKam 1:4 Tromsø. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HamKam and Tromsø?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches HamKam won 0, Tromsø won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HamKam vs Tromsø?
HamKam score 1.73 goals per game on average and Tromsø 1.57. The Eliteserien average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 73% of HamKam's matches and 29% of Tromsø's.
What form are HamKam and Tromsø in?
Over the last 5 games HamKam have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tromsø 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HamKam vs Tromsø?
The statistical background for HamKam vs Tromsø — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.