Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
Hansa Rostock demonstrates significantly better home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five outings (3 wins, 2 draws) and remaining unbeaten. Erzgebirge Aue suffers from very poor away form with just 11% wins and 56% losses on the road, underscored by a streak of four consecutive away defeats. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.1 vs 1.4), as does their advantage in possession (55% vs 48%) and shot efficiency. Erzgebirge Aue's away goal difference stands at -8, while Hansa boasts a +4 balance at home, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hansa Rostock played Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hansa Rostock: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hansa Rostock scores 1.63 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.21 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hansa Rostock 47%, Erzgebirge Aue 53%. Over 2.5: Hansa Rostock 53%, Erzgebirge Aue 53%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hansa Rostock has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.60. Hansa Rostock: 16.4 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 13.3.
Match halves
Hansa Rostock: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.84. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Hansa Rostock: 76-90+ (8 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hansa Rostock demonstrates significantly better home form with a 40% win rate and only 20% losses at their own ground. The hosts are in excellent condition, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five outings (3 wins, 2 draws) and remaining unbeaten. Erzgebirge Aue suffers from very poor away form with just 11% wins and 56% losses on the road, underscored by a streak of four consecutive away defeats. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.1 vs 1.4), as does their advantage in possession (55% vs 48%) and shot efficiency. Erzgebirge Aue's away goal difference stands at -8, while Hansa boasts a +4 balance at home, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hansa Rostock | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hansa Rostock is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.2 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hansa Rostock is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.21 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.47 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Hansa Rostock scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hansa Rostock keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hansa Rostock
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hansa Rostock is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.11 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hansa Rostock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hansa Rostock
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hansa Rostock | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hansa Rostock 0 - 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished Hansa Rostock 2:1 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Hansa Rostock score 1.63 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.21. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Hansa Rostock's matches and 53% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are Hansa Rostock and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games Hansa Rostock have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hansa Rostock vs Erzgebirge Aue?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.