Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt: match statistics
Hansa Rostock display solid home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive season goal difference of 37:20. The hosts stand out with a high average xG of 2.05 in home matches, indicating high offensive efficiency alongside defensive stability (averaging 1.09 goals conceded). Ingolstadt, despite decent form in their last five matches, perform significantly worse away from home – with only a 27% win rate and a higher goals conceded ratio (averaging 1.55). The difference in possession (55% vs 49%) and shot accuracy further favors the hosts. Considering Hansa Rostock's advantage in key home statistics and Ingolstadt's weaker away form, a home victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hansa Rostock played Ingolstadt in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Hansa Rostock: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ingolstadt: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hansa Rostock scores 1.76 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Ingolstadt scores 1.76 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hansa Rostock 48%, Ingolstadt 81%. Over 2.5: Hansa Rostock 57%, Ingolstadt 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Hansa Rostock has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.72. Hansa Rostock: 16.1 shots per match, Ingolstadt: 14.3.
Match halves
Hansa Rostock: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90. Ingolstadt: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Hansa Rostock: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ingolstadt: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hansa Rostock display solid home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive season goal difference of 37:20. The hosts stand out with a high average xG of 2.05 in home matches, indicating high offensive efficiency alongside defensive stability (averaging 1.09 goals conceded). Ingolstadt, despite decent form in their last five matches, perform significantly worse away from home – with only a 27% win rate and a higher goals conceded ratio (averaging 1.55). The difference in possession (55% vs 49%) and shot accuracy further favors the hosts. Considering Hansa Rostock's advantage in key home statistics and Ingolstadt's weaker away form, a home victory appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hansa Rostock | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hansa Rostock is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.6 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hansa Rostock is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.48 goals / match - Ingolstadt
Hansa Rostock scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Ingolstadt keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Ingolstadt scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Hansa Rostock keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hansa Rostock
Over / Under - Ingolstadt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ingolstadt is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.52 pts / match - Ingolstadt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hansa Rostock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ingolstadt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hansa Rostock
Ingolstadt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hansa Rostock | Liga | Ingolstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 3.15 | • 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 63% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hansa Rostock 0 - 1 - 0 Ingolstadt. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt?
The 3. Liga match finished Hansa Rostock 0:3 Ingolstadt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt?
Hansa Rostock score 1.76 goals per game on average and Ingolstadt 1.76. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Hansa Rostock's matches and 81% of Ingolstadt's.
What form are Hansa Rostock and Ingolstadt in?
Over the last 5 games Hansa Rostock have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ingolstadt 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hansa Rostock vs Ingolstadt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.