Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Hansa Rostock presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 21% losses, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.57 goals per match with an xG of 2.0, which indicates their scoring potential is underestimated. MSV Duisburg, despite a higher position in the table, performs significantly worse on the road with only a 29% win rate and up to 36% losses, and their away xG (1.31) is lower than Hansa's home xGA (1.29). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 36% of their away matches, which could be crucial against Hansa's well-organized defense. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical (1.6 PPG), but the home-field advantage and better offensive statistics in home games favor a Hansa Rostock win, although MSV Duisburg has the potential to put up tough resistance and force a draw.
Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hansa Rostock played MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Hansa Rostock: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hansa Rostock scores 1.68 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.82 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hansa Rostock 50%, MSV Duisburg 64%. Over 2.5: Hansa Rostock 61%, MSV Duisburg 64%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hansa Rostock has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.52. Hansa Rostock: 15.1 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.
Match halves
Hansa Rostock: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.86. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Hansa Rostock: 76-90+ (11 goals). MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hansa Rostock presents solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 21% losses, making them a tough opponent at their own stadium. The hosts have an offensive advantage at home, scoring an average of 1.57 goals per match with an xG of 2.0, which indicates their scoring potential is underestimated. MSV Duisburg, despite a higher position in the table, performs significantly worse on the road with only a 29% win rate and up to 36% losses, and their away xG (1.31) is lower than Hansa's home xGA (1.29). Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 36% of their away matches, which could be crucial against Hansa's well-organized defense. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches is identical (1.6 PPG), but the home-field advantage and better offensive statistics in home games favor a Hansa Rostock win, although MSV Duisburg has the potential to put up tough resistance and force a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hansa Rostock | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.82 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.25 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Hansa Rostock scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Hansa Rostock keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hansa Rostock
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hansa Rostock is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.43 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hansa Rostock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hansa Rostock
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hansa Rostock | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.79 | 3.12 | • 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hansa Rostock 0 - 1 - 0 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Hansa Rostock 5:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
Hansa Rostock score 1.68 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.82. The 3. Liga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hansa Rostock's matches and 64% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Hansa Rostock and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Hansa Rostock have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hansa Rostock vs MSV Duisburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.