Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Essen: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Hansa Rostock shows solid home form with a 38% win rate and a high xG (2.02), yet their last five matches yielded only 1 point per match. Rot-Weiss Essen has better overall form (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and more wins this season, but they draw in 50% of away cases and concede an average of 2 goals per match. The hosts hold a possession advantage (56%) and better scoring efficiency at home, while the visitors show higher shot conversion (12%). Considering Rot-Weiss Essen's tendency for away draws and the balanced strength of both teams, splitting the points seems the most probable outcome, though the hosts hold a slight edge due to the home advantage.
Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Essen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hansa Rostock played Rot-Weiss Essen in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Hansa Rostock: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hansa Rostock scores 1.64 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Rot-Weiss Essen scores 1.92 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hansa Rostock 48%, Rot-Weiss Essen 84%. Over 2.5: Hansa Rostock 60%, Rot-Weiss Essen 64%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Hansa Rostock has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.75. Hansa Rostock: 15.4 shots per match, Rot-Weiss Essen: 14.8.
Match halves
Hansa Rostock: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84. Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Hansa Rostock: 76-90+ (10 goals). Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both teams, pointing towards a draw. Hansa Rostock shows solid home form with a 38% win rate and a high xG (2.02), yet their last five matches yielded only 1 point per match. Rot-Weiss Essen has better overall form (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) and more wins this season, but they draw in 50% of away cases and concede an average of 2 goals per match. The hosts hold a possession advantage (56%) and better scoring efficiency at home, while the visitors show higher shot conversion (12%). Considering Rot-Weiss Essen's tendency for away draws and the balanced strength of both teams, splitting the points seems the most probable outcome, though the hosts hold a slight edge due to the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hansa Rostock | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.6 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.92 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Hansa Rostock is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Hansa Rostock · 1.64 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Hansa Rostock scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Hansa Rostock keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hansa Rostock
Over / Under - Rot-Weiss Essen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hansa Rostock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hansa Rostock
Rot-Weiss Essen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hansa Rostock | Liga | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.15 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 63% | ▲ 84% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 64% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hansa Rostock 0 - 0 - 1 Rot-Weiss Essen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The 3. Liga match finished Hansa Rostock 3:2 Rot-Weiss Essen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
Hansa Rostock score 1.64 goals per game on average and Rot-Weiss Essen 1.92. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Hansa Rostock's matches and 84% of Rot-Weiss Essen's.
What form are Hansa Rostock and Rot-Weiss Essen in?
Over the last 5 games Hansa Rostock have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rot-Weiss Essen 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.