Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden: match statistics

Hansa Rostock sit 2nd, with 2 wins and 1 draw after three matches, while Wehen Wiesbaden are 19th with a record of 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The hosts create significantly more danger at home, averaging 19 shots, including 8 on target, with an xG of 2.20 compared with the visitors’ 1.12 away from home. Rostock average 3 goals per home match and have not failed to score, whereas Wiesbaden average 0 goals away, have failed to score in 100% of their matches and convert 0% of their shots. However, the hosts’ defence is vulnerable to mistakes, conceding an average of 3 goals at home, while the visitors also allow opponents to score 4 goals per away match and have lost every such fixture. Recent form also favours Hansa, who average 1.4 points across their last five appearances, compared with 0.8 points for Wehen Wiesbaden.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Wehen Wiesbaden: the visitors have not scored a single away goal yet, failing to find the net in 100% of such matches. Their average of 0.6 goals across the last 5 matches, along with just 3 goals during that period, clearly limits their chances of scoring against Hansa Rostock. Hansa have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, although they also concede an average of 1.5 goals, meaning the risk of a Wiesbaden goal remains real. However, the hosts create significantly more danger, recording 1.73 xG and 7 shots on target per match compared with Wiesbaden’s 1.12 xG and 3 shots on target. Hansa’s recent results increase the possibility of an open game, with BTTS landing in 60% of their last five appearances, but the hosts’ advantage points more strongly towards a scenario in which they are the only team to score.

The latest results of both teams point to an open game: Hansa have scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 2.8 in their last 5 matches, while Wehen have scored 0.6 and conceded 2.4 goals. At least 3 goals were scored in all of Hansa’s last 5 matches and in 80% of Wehen’s recent games, while the league average stands at a high 3.6 goals. Hansa are also creating more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.63 in their last 5 matches, whereas Wehen’s defence allowed opponents an xG of 1.53. The visitors have struggled with finishing, but the hosts average 7.0 shots on target per game, while Wehen have conceded an average of 4.0 goals away from home. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as the data highlighting both sides’ defensive weaknesses clearly reduces the risk of a game finishing with no more than one goal.

Hansa have a clear attacking edge: their average xG stands at 1.73 compared with Wehen’s 1.12, while the hosts average 7 shots on target per match versus 3 for their opponents. Wehen have yet to score in the competition, have lost all of their matches so far and concede an average of 4.0 goals, whereas Hansa score 0.5 goals per game on average and have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. Across their last five appearances, Hansa averaged 2.0 goals per match, compared with just 0.6 for Wehen; the visitors lost 60% of their games during this period. Although Hansa were trailing at half-time in 60% of their last five matches, Wehen scored just 0.4 goals per game before the break and failed to score in the first half in as many as 60% of those matches. The strongest HT/FT scenario remains a Hansa lead at the break followed by holding that advantage through to full-time, supported by their superior chance-creation quality and the visitors’ very weak defence.