Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City: match statistics

Hanworth Villa are showing significantly better recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring 18 goals in the process, while Chichester City have recorded just 2 victories and conceded as many as 13 goals. At home, the hosts average 3 goals per match, have failed to score in none of their games and win 75% of their fixtures, whereas the visitors score only 0.75 goals per away game and fail to find the net in 50% of matches. Hanworth’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game, with 58% possession and an average of 6 shots on target, compared with Chichester’s 49% and 5 shots on target. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 2 goals and 1.71 xG away from home, which, combined with Hanworth’s 1.64 xG created at home, points to a home win.

The signal for goals from both sides is reinforced by current form: BTTS occurred in 80% of matches for both teams across their last 5 games. Hanworth Villa averaged 3.6 goals during this period, while Chichester City averaged 2.2, with the visitors conceding as many as 2.6 goals per match. The hosts score an average of 2.5 goals at home and have kept only one clean sheet in four matches, with their average goals conceded standing at 1.5. The main risk to the pick is Chichester City's seasonal profile: they have not recorded BTTS in any of their away matches so far and failed to score in 50% of them. However, their xG of 1.60 and 5 shots on target per match indicate a genuine chance of ending that run. The advantage in attacking form and the visitors' poor recent defensive record make BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.

Hanworth Villa score an average of 2.5 goals at home, while Chichester City concede an average of 2.0 away from home, clearly supporting the hosts’ attacking output. In their last five matches, Hanworth scored 18 goals, averaging 3.6 per game, whereas Chichester conceded 13 goals during the same period, an average of 2.6. At least 2 goals were scored in all of Hanworth’s league matches and in 75% of Chichester’s away games, while the league-wide average stands at 3.06 goals. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 in each of their last five appearances, and 80% of those matches involving each side ended with both teams scoring. The strongest selection is Over 1.5, as even a more conservative assessment of their finishing ability produces a projected total of 3.25 goals, giving this line a very clear edge.

Hanworth Villa have a clear first-half advantage: they were leading at the break in 3 of their last 4 matches, scoring an average of 1.25 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.50, while Chichester City concede 1.00 goal during this period. The hosts are also in excellent overall form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals and conceding 1.2. After the break, Hanworth Villa continue to look solid, averaging 2.0 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded across their last five appearances, while Chichester City have conceded an average of 2.0 goals over the same period. The visitors can start matches well, having led at half-time in 60% of their last five fixtures, but their 40% defeat rate and average of 2.6 goals conceded per match support the expectation that the hosts will maintain their advantage. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore Hanworth Villa leading at the break and winning at the final whistle.