Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: match statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv are in better current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 goals per game, while Hapoel Katamon recorded 3 wins and scored 8 goals during the same period. The visitors have also been more solid defensively, conceding 4 goals in their last five appearances compared with 6 for the hosts. The points tally from the last five matches stands at 2.4 to 2.0 in Maccabi’s favor, confirming their greater consistency. Hapoel Katamon have home advantage and have suffered just one defeat in their last five matches, so a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, the visitors’ superior finishing and defensive record favor a Maccabi Tel Aviv victory.

The BTTS signal is mixed: Hapoel Katamon saw both teams score in 60% of their last five matches, whereas Maccabi Tel Aviv did so in only 20%. During this period, the visitors averaged 2.0 goals scored per match and conceded just 0.8, clearly increasing the risk that the hosts will fail to find the net. Hapoel averaged 1.6 goals, but their xG stood at 1.85 compared with 1.30 xG for Maccabi’s opponents, suggesting that the hosts should create chances, although they will not be clear favourites to score. Maccabi won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Katamon suffered one defeat and recorded two victories over the same period. The strongest indicator remains the visitors’ low BTTS frequency and solid defence, making the scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.

Both teams have shown strong scoring efficiency in their last five matches: Hapoel Katamon averaged 1.6 goals, while Maccabi Tel Aviv averaged 2.0. The hosts conceded 1.2 goals per game during this period, which favors the visitors’ attacking potential, while Maccabi allowed opponents just 0.8 goals on average. The creative potential is also evident, with average xG of 1.85 for Hapoel and 1.70 for Maccabi, alongside 1.34 and 1.30 xG conceded defensively, respectively. In 3 of the last 5 matches played by each team, at least 3 goals were scored, but Maccabi’s more solid defense reduces confidence in higher goal lines. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.80 goals and both teams’ current attacking output clearly support a minimum of two goals.

Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Hapoel Katamon have recorded 3 wins, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The visitors held a lead at the break in 80% of their last five appearances, whereas the hosts have not led at half-time in any of their matches; in 80% of their games, the score was level after 45 minutes. Maccabi average 1.0 goal scored before the break and 0.4 conceded, giving them a positive +3 goal difference, while Katamon score only 0.4 goals, concede 0.6 and have a -1 goal difference. The hosts are more active after the interval, averaging 1.2 goals, but the quality gap and Maccabi’s very strong start point primarily towards an HT/FT scenario in which the visitors lead at half-time and secure the win in the end.