Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: match statistics

Hapoel Be'er Sheva are showing significantly better recent form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 2.4 points per game. Over the same period, Hapoel Ramat Gan recorded just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, averaging 1 point per match. The hosts have scored 10 goals in their last five games, but their defence has conceded as many as 11, whereas Be'er Sheva have conceded only 5. The visitors have scored 7 goals in their last five outings, but their considerably more stable defence should prove decisive against a Ramat Gan side that lost their only match of the season so far 1:2. The advantage provided by a four-match winning streak and a stronger defensive record points to an away victory.

Hapoel Ramat Gan recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 2.2, which clearly favours goals at both ends. Hapoel Be'er Sheva scored 1.4 goals per match during this period, while the hosts allowed opponents a high xG of 1.83, giving the visitors solid grounds to score. Ramat Gan created an average of 1.34 xG, while Be'er Sheva allowed opponents 1.36 xG, which also supports the prospect of a home goal. However, the signal is weakened by the visitors' low BTTS rate of just 20% in their last five appearances, as well as only 1.0 goal conceded per match. Despite this caveat, the attacking form of both teams and the hosts' very leaky defence provide a slight indication towards BTTS - Yes.

The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.85 goals clearly exceeds this line. Hapoel Ramat Gan averaged 2.0 goals scored in their last five matches, but conceded as many as 2.2, resulting in an average of 4.2 total goals per game. At least 3 goals were scored in each of Ramat Gan’s five matches, with both teams finding the net in 100% of those games. Hapoel Be'er Sheva scored 1.4 goals per match during this period, while the hosts allowed opponents a high xG of 1.83 per game. Caution with higher lines is warranted because the teams’ attacking xG figures are 1.34 and 1.20, respectively, making Over 1.5 goals a significantly safer edge than Over 2.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches, or 60% of the time. The hosts did not lead at the break on any occasion in this run, while they went into half-time trailing in as many as 40% of their matches; they scored just 0.6 goals before the break and conceded an average of 1.0. Be'er Sheva have significantly better current full-time form: they won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 1.4 goals, whereas Ramat Gan won only 1 of 5 and conceded an average of 2.2 goals. After the break, the visitors conceded just 0.4 goals per match and kept a clean sheet in 80% of those second halves, which supports a turnaround in their favour late in an evenly balanced match.